Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Pick – MLB July 5, 2022

The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox have two more games at Guaranteed Rate Field following a wacky extra-inning game last night. In the first-ever instance in major league history, the White Sox flew into an 8-5 double play.

The White Sox had runners on and no outs in a 2-2 game. It appeared like the White Sox were ready to take the lead and blow the game open. That was until AJ Pollock made good contact to get the ball in deep center field.

Yoan and Moncada and Adam Engel both took off erroneously and were easily tagged up. While it was terrible base running, I’m surprised it has happened for the first time.

The White Sox should have won that game, but they gave a win away. Their bullpen held well until Joe Kelly took the mound in extras, so that’s likely a win if the White Sox don’t botch things late in the game with 2 runners on and no outs.

The White Sox aren’t making it easy on themselves this season.

There’s talent on this roster, but they are finding new ways to beat themselves. The White Sox are 38-40 and 5.5 games behind the Twins for the lead in the AL Central. Optimistically, despite two games under .500, they’re within reach of the division.

The Twins lead the division at 46-37 and have a 3.5-game lead on the Guardians. That’s a decent enough lead, but it doesn’t appear that a team from the AL Central is coming out of the ALCS this season.

The Twins are looking for back-to-back wins in Chicago behind the arm of Chris Archer. Archer has turned back the calendar this year and is pitching like the 2013-2015 version. Michael Kopech counters for the White Sox.

Head below for our free Twins vs. White Sox prediction on July 5, 2022.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Minneosta Twins +1.5 (-175) +110 Over 9.5 (-105)
Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+150) -132 Under 9.5 (-115)
Team Data Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox
Overall Record 46-37 38-40
Away/Home Record 21-19 16-22
Batting Average .248 .251
Batting Average Away/Home .247 .231
Runs Per 9 4.56 4.23
Team ERA 3.64 4.09
Team ERA Away/Home 3.82 4.58

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction:

Chris Archer hasn’t been an above-average form since 2015 with the Tampa Bay Rays. His ERA has been above 4.00 yearly since then, and a trade to the Pittsburgh Pirates only worsened it.

Archer went through the motions in his time with the Pirates for two years.

The Rays were planning to find his groove again in Tampa last year. Archer was injured and pitched only six games with a 4.66 ERA and 1.23 WHIP.

He’s figured out what was bothering up, apparently, because Archer is in his best shape now than in a long time. Archer is going into this one with an ERA of 3.08 and a 1.26 WHIP.

Archer hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in seven of his previous eight starts. The last outing Archer conceded more than 3 earned runs was on May 11.

In his previous three attempts, Archer has posted an ERA of 2.08 and a 0.92 WHIP. His work on the road has been in top form, as Archer has notched a 2.70 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 34 innings.

Archer should contain a White Sox offense scoring 4.24 runs per 9 innings.

The White Sox are 21st in the majors offensively. If last night is any indicator, the White Sox are finding it tough to finish innings strongly.

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games on a Tuesday
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus a right-handed starter
  • UNDER is 4-0-1 in their previous five games
  • UNDER is 12-2-2 in their previous 16 games versus a team with a losing record
  • UNDER is 7-3-1 in their previous 11 games after a win

White Sox

  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games at home
  • UNDER is 5-1 in their previous six games after a loss
  • UNDER is 4-0-1 in thier previous five games at home
  • UNDER is 7-3-1 in their previous 11 games

  • Michael Kopech is in his first season as a full-time member of the rotation. He appeared in 44 games a season ago, but only four of which were starts.

    Kopech deserved a look in the rotation after posting a 3.50 ERA and 1.13.

    The rookie recorded a 5.02 ERA and 1.53 WHIP through four starts in his first major league experience in 2018. He missed 2019 and 2020 before getting a chance last season.

    Overall, Kopech owns a 2.78 ERA and 1.03 WHIP across 68 innings of work. He’s going into his 15th start of 202 in this one.

    His best results have been at home, where Kopech has posted an ERA of 2.08 and a 0.81 WHIP. Kopech was on fire in an earlier work versus the Twins.

    The Twins looked lost at the plate against Kopech, as they’re hitting .050 with just 2 hits in 23 at-bats against him. This looks like another good spot for Kopech to carry himself well.

    The total looks slightly too inflated at Guaranteed Rate Field. I’d probably have this total at 8.5 or 9 runs, not the posted 9.5. I will side with the pitchers and lock in the UNDER.


    Twins vs. White Sox Pick
    UNDER 9.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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