Randy Dobnak (5-1, 1.78 ERA) vs. Matthew Boyd (0-2, 4.45 ERA)
The Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers start up a four-game series at Comerica Park on Thursday night in Detroit. The Tigers are coming off an impressive series win to upset the Cubs in two out of three games.
The Cubs lost the rubber-match with Jon Lester on the hill last night. They carried a 3-1 lead into the bottom of the 6th, but that was when things got ugly for the Cubs. After Lester allowed just 1 earned run through 5 innings, the bullpen entered the game to throw his hard work in the toilet.
Rowan Wick and Ryan Tepera were both responsible for a total of 5 earned runs. That was all of the damage that the Tigers needed to inflict to erase the deficit and take a 6-3 lead. The Tigers added another run in the next inning to take a 7-3 lead into the final frame. The Cubs were able to make things really interesting as they tacked on 3 runs, but the insurance run the Tigers produced in the 7th ended up being huge.
The Tigers have been up and down this season without much consistency. One week they look like a contender, and the next the Tigers fall on their faces and play like the same team from 2019. That team went 47-114 and had the honor of selecting Spencer Torkelson.
The 21-year-old is an exciting prospect for the Tigers, but is not ready to get the call to play in the big leagues. The front office hopes to have Casey Mize, Tarik Skubal, and Torkelson together in their prime. If things go accordingly, the Tigers expect to have all three winning them a lot of games.
The Tigers move on to a new challenge after handling their National League visitor well. They get no time for rest with the Twins traveling to Detroit for this series. The Twins are on the heels of back-to-back losses versus the Cleveland Indians. Shane Bieber shut down the bats on Tuesday, and then Mike Clevinger did the same upon his return to the rotation.
The Twins will send out who might be the most under-the-radar pitcher of 2020. Randy Dobnak has been fantastic for the Twins, and has played a big role in giving them a half game lead over the Indians and White Sox. Things are tight in this competitive division, though. There isn’t much room for error. The Tigers are expected to give the ball to Matt Boyd on the hill. Head below for our free Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers pick for August 27, 2020.
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Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction:
There have been a few young pitchers that have made a big statement in 2020. One of those includes Randy Dobnak of the Minnesota Twins. He received five starts and four appearances out of the bullpen last season and Dobnak impressed. Through 28.1 innings of work, Dobnak posted an ERA of 1.59 and 1.13 WHIP in 2019.
He was just getting his feet wet last season and getting some experience at the major league level. Dobnak impressed enough to make the active roster in Minnesota this season. With that kind of production, Dobnak certainly deserved a spot in the rotation.
He hasn’t made the Twins regret that decision in the least. Dobnak enters Thursday with a sharp ERA of 1.78 and 1.02 WHIP through four games and 30.1 innings. He hasn’t allowed more than 2 earned runs in any start, including going back to last season. That’s 15 games straight for Dobnak, but he still hasn’t gotten much attention for his efforts.
He’s quietly inserted himself into the Cy Young race of this 60-game campaign. In 40 at-bats against the Tigers, Dobnak has served up no long balls and 3 runs. The Tigers are hitting .239 versus Dobnak going into Thursday evening at Comerica.
If Matt Boyd goes off the rails again, it’s really not going to matter what they do against Dobnak, though. Boyd, who was a potential candidate to breakout in 2020, has been lapped by Spencer Turnbull. It has been a frustrating year for the 29-year-old. Boyd has given up 39 hits and 27 earned runs in 28.2 innings.
The Tigers have been waiting on Boyd to turn a corner for a while now, five years to be exact, but it hasn’t been working out well. He’s posted an ERA of 5.27, 4.39, 4.56, and goes into Thursday with a 8.48 ERA and 1.74 WHIP. The Twins are hitting .321 with a .344 against Boyd in his career. You have to think Dobnak and the Twins have the advantage in this meeting. I’m expecting a letdown for the Tigers, while the Twins bounce back following a couple of sloppy days in Cleveland.