Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB August 10, 2020

    Randy Dobnak (2-1, 0.60 ERA) vs. Adrian Houser (1-0, 0.75 ERA)

The Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers meet for a three-game series at Miller Park this week. The first game will take place on Monday evening in Milwaukee. The Brewers are coming off their first won at home this season with a 9-3 win over the Cincinnati Reds. Christian Yelich got involved and is showing signs of turning things around in the right direction.

He went deep for his third home run in four games. Yelich is still only hitting .149, but if he gets hot the Brewers are suddenly going to have something. That said, they’re without Lorenzo Cain and currently sitting with a record of 6-7.

Cain bowed out after playing in four games this season because of coronavirus fears. He was playing well at that time, too. If Yelich didn’t get red-hot for the Brewers, they stand no chance of getting into the postseason. He’s too important of a player in the lineup to fail to produce. Even with this small sample size so far in 2020, it’s easy to see how valuable Yelich is to the Brewers.

They are a sub .500 baseball team without Yelich playing up to his standards. Justin Smoak had a big day at the plate with 2 RBI on 3-for-5 hitting. Depending on Smoak on a regular basis isn’t a formula for success, though. He’s a good depth piece in the lineup.

The Twins are off to a nice start with a record of 10-5. However, the last two days in Kansas City weren’t particularly fun. Their pitching staff got roughed up good on Saturday in a 9-6 loss, and then the offense struggled against Brady Singer on Sunday. Singer is a good young pitcher, but isn’t going to get much attention on a bad team right now.

Minnesota holds a half game advantage on the Tigers and Indians in the AL Central. The Tigers are a surprising contender, but I have my doubts if they can keep this pace up. Spencer Turnbull is carrying the load for the pitching staff at the moment in Detroit.

Randy Dobnak has been on fire to open the season for the Twin. The 25-year-old will be joined by Arian Houser of the Brewers on the bump. He has been in great form as well. Head below for our free Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers pick for August 10, 2020.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Twins -1.5 (+155)
  • Brewers +1.5 (-175)
Moneyline:

  • Twins (-105)
  • Brewers (-105)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-122)
  • Under 8.5 (+102)

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Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction:

Randy Dobnak has been a major bright spot for the Twins in 2020. You may not know who the guy is if you’re not a religious baseball follower or Twins’ fan, but he showcased plenty of talent in 2019 after getting called up from the minors. Dobnak posted an ERA of 1.59 and 1.13 WHIP in nine games across 28.1 innings of work.

He was just getting some experience last season and getting his feet wet, but this season the Twins are taking the training wheels off. In three starts this season, Dobnak has been nearly unhittable with an ERA of 0.60 and 0.87 WHIP. Between the White Sox and Indians, Dobnak has given up just 1 earned run in 9 innings. He held them to a .188 batting average.

Dobnak is going to have some ups and downs, but so far it doesn’t look like it’s been a fluky hot start for him. He’s been hitting his spots and operating with great efficiency. Adrian Houser has gotten off to a nice start as well. He has been strong over the last two years, and was on point in his first season as a full time pitcher in 2019.

Houser owns an ERA of 0.75 and 0.92 WHIP in two starts. He went 12 innings to hold the White Sox and Pirates to a .167 batting average. Houser helped lead the Brewers to a 1-0 win over the Pirates in his most recent showing. There were moments that Houser looked like an ace in 2019.

Houser ultimately finished with an ERA of 3.72 and 1.24 WHIP last year between the rotation and bullpen. He was better at home last season, as he recorded an ERA of 3.17 and 1.14 WHIP. At this price, the UNDER looks like good value with Dobnak and Houser on the hill.

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The Bet
UNDER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.