Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick – MLB August 12, 2020

    Kenta Maeda (2-0, 2.65 ERA) vs. Eric Lauer (0-1, 9.53 ERA)

The Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers will play the third of their three-game series on Wednesday. The Brewers pulled away in the eighth frame with 2 runs to take a 6-4 lead. Josh Hader closed the game out from there in the ninth for the Brewers’ seventh win on the season. With eight losses, there is a lot of work to be done for the Brew Crew.

If this were a full season, that wouldn’t be concerning at all this early. However, the Cubs have been fast starters and are off to a 11-3 record in the NL Central. There isn’t much time for the Brewers to sit around and wait to get hot later.

Losing Lorenzo Cain hurts, but with an offense that features Christian Yelich, the Brewers shouldn’t all of the sudden go completely cold. Yelich hasn’t been exactly hot to open the 2020 campaign. He is hitting .164 with 4 home runs and 9 RBI.

It’s going to be important that Yelich gets going or nothing much is going to happen for them. They would likely just hover around the .500 mark and fail to reach the expanded postseason. And even if Yelich gets hot, don’t expect the Brewers to ride that to a deep playoff run.

On the other side, the Twins are in a good position to win their division in the AL Central. They own a record of 11-7 and have a half game lead on the.. Tigers? Yeah, the Tigers are hanging tough with a record of 9-6. They are playing with a lot of heart right now. On paper they aren’t the best team, but they’re playing with a lot of confidence at the moment. I don’t know if they can sustain it this season, but I like where the team is heading in the future.

The Twins acquired Kenta Maeda in a trade with the LA Dodgers. He never lived up to expectations, but a change of scenery could help. Meada was average with the Dodgers, but they were expecting better than average. Maeda is expected to see the bump at Miller Park in the series finale on Wednesday evening. Eric Lauer is likely going to counter for the Brewers. Head below for our free Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers pick for August 12, 2020.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Twins -1.5 (+120)
  • Brewers +1.5 (-140)
Moneyline:

  • Twins (-138)
  • Brewers (+128)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-120)
  • Under 8.5 (+100)

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Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction:

I think Kenta Maeda wanted a change of scenery and to get out of the huge market of Los Angeles. Even if he finds a lot of success with the Twins, it doesn’t necessarily mean that he would have done the same in LA. Besides, the Dodgers’ rotation is so packed with talent that holding onto Maeda was not priority No. 1.

It was a good move for the Dodgers to get something for Maeda. He has been fine so far with the Twins, though not sure he’s going to be able to maintain this ERA of 2.65. Maeda posted an ERA of 3.48, 4.22, 3.81, and 4.04 in his first four seasons. He can certainly do better than a 4.04 or 3.81 ERA, but I’m not entirely confident in him keeping his ERA at 2.65. Maeda is coming off his worst performance of the season against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Maeda allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings versus the Bucs. It was three big runs for the Pirates, as they went on to beat the Twins by a score of 6-5. Maeda likely won’t have to be perfect for the Twins in this one, though. I’m expecting plenty of run support for him today. Eric Lauer has been way out of sync with an ERA of 9.53 and 1.76 WHIP in 5.7 innings. Lauer made his first start of the season against the Reds after an appearance out of the bullpen to open the year.

His 2020 debut as a starter was rough to say the least. The Reds tagged Lauer for 5 hits and 6 earned runs in 3 innings of work. Lauer, who is in his third season of pitching in the majors, was adequate in his first two seasons. He recorded an ERA of 4.34 and 4.45, leaving some room for improvement going into this year. I think the total is a hook too short here. There should be at least 9 runs up on the scoreboard on Wednesday night at Miller Park.

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OVER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.