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MLB DraftKings Picks – July 18th

Hopefully you were able to cash using last night’s lineup! The lineup received excellent offensive contributions across the board as Anthony Rizzo, Steve Pearce and Seth Smith all hit home runs while Ben Zobrist and Travis Shaw held up their end of the bargains as well. Jon Lester got a win while striking out six, however unfortunately Lance McCullers was a drag on our lineup’s performance as he fell apart in the fifth inning and finished with just 4.2 innings pitched on the night. Let’s make it two straight quality lineups on tonight’s 15-game slate!

P – Clayton Kershaw (LAD) – $14,000 vs. CWS

Our first pitcher of the night is the top pitcher on the slate and that is Dodgers’ southpaw Clayton Kershaw. The future Hall of Famer sports a 2.18 ERA, 3.00 FIP and a 10.81 K/9 clip heading into action tonight. The White Sox have had their way with some lefties this season and admittedly Kershaw has given up an elevated number (by his lofty standards) of home runs this season, however he remains an elite option every time he takes the mound and will have a solid floor once again this evening.

P – Blake Snell (TB) – $6,600 vs. OAK

We will roll with two lefties this evening as Blake Snell finds his way into this lineup. While Snell has certainly has some issues in his rookie season, he will get a couple of things going his way tonight. The A’s rank 29th in all of baseball with a .654 OPS against left-handed pitching on the season while the O.Co Coliseum in Oakland remains one of the top pitching-friendly ball parks in the league. Snell yielded zero earned runs in his last start across five innings albeit we would appreciate if he would cut down on the four walks he issued in those five innings during tonight’s start.

C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) – $4,600 vs. MIN

The Yankees enter play tonight as my top stack but we should keep an eye on this one as weather could be a factor in Minnesota tonight. Nonetheless, Sanchez will take his cuts against super-veteran Bartolo Colon this evening who sports a 5.35 FIP and a 1.71 HR/9 clip on the season against right-handed bats like Sanchez. Sanchez enters play with a lofty .229 ISO and .896 OPS against righties this season and thus carries plenty of power upside with him into this matchup.

1B – Matt Holliday (NYY) – $3,800 vs. MIN

We are interestingly receiving a lot of value upside with a few Yankees’ players tonight and it begins here with Holliday. Holliday sports a very nice .262 ISO and .865 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching with that ISO figure ranking second on the team among qualified hitters next to super-rookie Aaron Judge. Perhaps best of all with be all the RBI chances he is due to receive tonight thanks to hitting the cleanup spot.

2B – Starlin Castro (NYY) – $3,700 vs. MIN

The value continues here with Castro as we get a reverse-splits matchup here with the right-handed hitting second baseman. Castro is another Yankee to sport an OPS well over the .800 mark at .853 on the season while his ISO sits a nice .196 mark and his wOBA at a strong .362 versus same-handed pitching. Castro will likely be the last person in this stack to hit which could make him the most important piece of the puzzle tonight.

3B – Maikel Franco (PHI) – $3,400 vs. MIA

Franco hasn’t matched his lofty totals against left-handed pitching from the 2016 but he is certainly in a nice matchup and has value upside against Marlins’ southpaw Adam Conley. Conley sports a 5.58 FIP and a 43.3% fly ball rate against right-handed batters this season while Franco has a very solid .221 OPS and a .741 OPS against lefties. Once his extremely low .197 BABIP against lefties begins to normalize we should see that OPS figure rise towards his career norm.

SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) – $3,800 vs. MIN

Last man up for the Yankees’ stack will be the only left-handed bat of the bunch in shortstop Didi Gregorius. While Colon has struggled to righties as mentioned earlier, he also has struggled versus lefties and owns an elevated 40.4% fly ball clip to left-handed bats to go along with a 4.80 FIP to them. Gregorius is projected to be sandwiched between Holliday and Castro in the five hole tonight which should also carry RBI upside as well.

OF – Mikie Mahtook (DET) – $2,700 vs. KC

Mahtook is certainly bringing plenty of value into tonight’s contest against the Royals and left-hander Travis Wood. After homering in last night’s contest against a lefty, Mahtook now owns a nice .224 ISO and .782 OPS against left-handed pitching on the season to go along with a whopping 49% hard hit rate according to Fangraphs. He is a sneaky, low-owned play tonight to say the least.

OF – Dexter Fowler (STL) – $3,700 vs. NYM

While Rafael Montero hasn’t been too bad this season with a 4.04 FIP against lefties, he also sports a elevated 5.08 xFIP and has a 7.11 ERA on the season to lefties. This pick has more to do with the value that Fowler brings to the table tonight at this price considering he sports a .250 ISO and .841 OPS on the season against right-handed pitching. He has also tallied three steals on the season against righties, giving him a hint of stolen base upside to boot.

OF – Carlos Gonzalez (COL) – $3,600 vs. SD

While CarGo ultimately didn’t start in last night’s game when he was in this lineup, he should get the nod against Padres’ right-hander Dinelson Lamet this evening. Lamet owns a shaky 6.47 FIP and 3.00 HR/9 against left-handed bats this season as well as a 50.8% fly-ball rate to them as well. Look for CarGo to take advantage of these favorable numbers tonight as he looks to improve on a slumping season.

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