Kansas City Royals +190 @ New York Yankees -220 (Total: 9.5)
Kyle Davies (1-4 7.32 ERA) v. Freddy Garcia (1-2, 2.88 ERA)
The Royals have had a pleasantly surprising start to the season. Unfortunately the same cannot be said for Kyle Davies. Davies has been battered around the yard all season, and tonight he heads into Yankee Stadium to face the Bronx Bombers and the suddenly-alive bat of captain Derrick Jeter.
The Royals tend to play a lot of one-run games (and have actually fared pretty well in them at 9-5), so be cautious how much juice you are willing to lay on the -1.5 run line, but I still think that is your best play here.
Davies has shown no indication that he can hold any offense down for more than 5 innings, and the Yankees qualify as an above-average offense.
I like the Bombers big in the Bronx tonight, capturing a win for tough-luck pitcher Freddy Garcia, who has pitched far better than his 1-2 record indicates
PICK: New York Yankees -1.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies +100 @ Florida Marlins -120 (Total: 6)
Roy Halliday (5-1, 2.19 ERA) vs. Josh Johnson (3-1, 1.68 ERA)
If you even remotely like baseball, this is a game you need to find a way to get in front of a television to watch. One would be hard pressed to find a better pitching matchup anywhere this season than tonight when Roy Halliday and josh Johnson square off in Miami.
Since the middle of last season, roy Halliday is 18-1 with a 1.56 ERA against NL East division foes. How’s that for taking care of business within your own division? The last time Halliday faced off against Josh Johnson and the marlins? He threw a perfect game. Ridiculous.
The funny thing is, he might need to do it again to have a chance to best Johnson tonight at home. The Marlins young righty, admittedly an admirer of Halliday, modeled much of his approach to the game and pitching after Halliday, after following him around and picking his brain over the All Star Game Weekend last year. It seems to have worked. Johnson currently leads all NL starters with a 1.68 ERA.
The difference tonight might come down to the Phillies line-up having just a little more punch, and Halliday having just a little more big-game poise. After all, this is a guy who threw the first post-season no-hitter in 50 years last year – a early-season pitcher’s duel is not likely to cause a ripple for the unflappable ace.
This one should be a gem, and despite how wonderful Johnson has been, and the fact he is pitching at home, I learned a while ago to avoid betting against Halliday whenever possible. If you can get positive odds AND Halliday??
I like the Phillies tonight in a rare early season matchup worthy of the DVR.
PICK: Philadelphia Phillies to WIN (+100)