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MLB Picks for May 4th – Yankees Tigers

I really don’t mean to write about Cleveland every day. I’m not an Indians fan at all. In fact, growing up in Cincinnati, I am actually pretty well conditioned to dislike anything Cleveland-related. But the Tribe just keeps being “talk-about worthy.”

Last night it was struggling former-ace Fausto Carmona and his plus 9.00 ERA taking the hill in what some viewed as a start to try and save his spot in the rotation. Suffice it to say the Indians won’t be demoting Carmona after last night’s no-hitter.

Sure, he walked six batters, but a no-hitter thrown in a 1-0 game is impressive no matter how you slice it. Impressive enough, that yes, I have to talk about the Indians once again… OK let’s get on to today’s picks.

Today’s Free Major League Baseball Picks:

New York Yankees -105 @ Detroit Tigers -115
Freddy Garcia (1-1, 2.00 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (4-0, 3.82 ERA)

Freddy Garcia is experiencing a nice resurgence in pinstripes. In his three starts with the Yankees, he has posted a 1.59 ERA, and tonight he looks to improve on that record facing the team he has defeated more than any other in his professional career, the Tigers.

For the Tigers, Max Scherzer is looking for his second win this season over the Yankees, even though he didn’t pitch particularly well in their first meeting. He is coming off his worst outing of the season, having given up five runs and allowing five walks in six innings against Cleveland.

The Yankees are playing well overall, and Garcia gives them a good chance to win tonight on the road, and at a reasonable (-105) price as well. The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight overall, and six of their last seven to the Yankees.

I like the Bronx Bombers on the road tonight, and love the rare opportunity to get a relatively flat money line without having to lay the -1.5 runs.

PICK: New York Yankees to WIN -105

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Florida Marlins +170 @ St. Louis Cardinals -200 (Total: 7.5)
Javier Vasquez (2-2, 6.39 ERA) vs. Chris Carpenter (0-2, 3.89 ERA)

St. Louis enters tonight’s game playing their best ball of the season, thanks in large part to Matt holiday and his league-leading .409 batting average. His three run homer last night in the 7th inning was the difference in the cards 7-5 victory.

The loss cooled off the red-hot Marlins, who still possess the second-best record in the National League, only a game back of the Phillies in the NL East. The Fish have reeled off 13 of 18, and have won six of their last nine against the Cards.

The Cardinals have been surprisingly much better on the road (10-6) than they have been at home, just 7-7. Numbers like that, plus a hot team with a decent pitcher on the mound makes the +180 too juicy to pass by.

Yes, the potential for a Chris Carpenter gem exists every time he takes the mound. However, despite his solid WHIP (1.22) and strong ERA, his team is just 1-5 this season in games he starts.

I like the value of the Marlins tonight at +180.

PICK: Florida Marlins to WIN (+180)

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