Nationals vs. Braves MLB Pick – September 21st

We grabbed another winner last night with the Cardinals easily trouncing Rookie Davis and the Reds in Davis’s return to the Big League rotation. This one was over before it started with five quick runs and we cruised to a plus-money runline victory. The winner was my fourth in a row and pushes the two-week mark to 10-3-1 ATS as we try to close out the regular season with some much-needed momentum.

Speaking of momentum, it is has been good in Chicago, but the continued struggles of Jon Lester are concerning for Cubs fans and their dreams of a repeat World Series title. Lester allowed seven runs in just four innings and looks a far cry from the Game One aces that the other postseason teams will be trotting out to the mound. Kershaw, Scherzer, Greinke… and Lester. Problems in the Windy City for sure… However, in the short term, all those problems can disappear if they can finish off the Brewers this weekend. The HUGE series begins tonight with Arietta vs. Zach Davies.

Let’s see if we can keep the momentum rolling tonight.

Today’s MLB Pick:

 Washington Nationals -134 at Atlanta Braves +124 (Total: 9)
Tanner Roarke (13-9, 4.43 ERA) vs. R.A. Dickey (9-10, 4.41 ERA)

Tanner Roarke’s resurgence is a big reason why a lot of sharp money is heading to the Nationals in the National League (well, that and the 5-20 record over the last 25 games for the Dodgers). Roarke has delivered four straight quality starts and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any appearance since July 29th. I expect him to be solid tonight on the road.

And speaking of “the road” it has certainly been kind to the Nats this season. They are a blistering twenty games over .500 at 47-27. Juxtapositioned against that excellence is the Braves 34-43 home record. The Nats are favored for a reason tonight, despite the relatively inexpensive lay down on the line.

The other reason they are favored is the pitching edge for Washington. R.A. Dickey has gotten shelled in his last three starts, and one must consider that this could finally be the end of the line for the 42-year old knuckleballer. He has allowed five or more runs in three straight starts for a total of 16 earned runs in just 14.1 innings.

It’s nearly impossible not to like the value of Washington tonight. You never know with a knuckleballer – maybe it is dancing with devilish delight tonight. But the better value is clearly on Roarke and the Nats.


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