Nationals vs. Braves Pick MLB – August 18th

We hit another no sweat winner yesterday, as we hit the over in the Rockies/Orioles game before even half of the game is complete. The Orioles, as expected, exploded on Chad Bettis early and often. They scored 7 runs in the third inning to give us a relaxing victory with no cause for concern at any point. I also cashed an NFL preseason winner with the Cardinals, a game I would rather forget about, though. Wow, talk about one ugly game that I was just hoping would end at any time. In any case, money is money, and that’s what we got out of it.

If I can successfully hit my MLB pick today that would be a whole week without a loss in baseball. I have been on hot runs this summer, but this is my hottest yet and I don’t want it to end just yet, or ever would be great, too.

Free Pick

Washington Nationals +125 at Atlanta Braves -145 (Total: 7.5)

Gio Gonzalez (7-5, 3.42 ERA) vs. Julio Teheran (9-6, 3.08)

The Nationals and Braves went deep into the night, as the Nationals eventually took down the Braves, 8-7, in 15 innings. The total of 6.5 seemed appropriate with Strasburg and Minor taking the hill, but it obviously went well over that. Strasburg ended up getting tossed after tossing three straight wild pitches that appeared to be thrown intentionally at the batter. Things got a little out of control from there, as you can probably notice by just looking at the final score and final inning. A couple of solid pitches will try and do what Strasburg and Minor intended yesterday on Sunday.

I stressed in Gonzalez’s last start that his numbers are a little bit misleading, especially his last three starts. His numbers from his last three games state that he has an ERA of 7.53, but there is only one start in his last three where he really got slaughtered. That was against the Tigers back on July 31st where he allowed 10 runs. However, other than that game all season, Gonzalez has been lights out. He came back in his start after that disaster and delivered 2 run baseball. Gonzalez then followed it up in a rain shortened start by allowing no runs over 4 innings. He was pitching as well as he has all season in that start against the Giants.

It hasn’t been long since Julio Teheran has faced off against the Nationals, as he pitched brilliantly against them on August 8th on the road. Teheran in that start allowed 1 run over 6 innings of work. He’ll get another opportunity to duplicate that performance at home this time around. Teheran has been solid at home, where he posts a 2.93 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

There’s two ways of looking at this game from last night’s perspective: the bullpens are going to be tired, or the bats are going to be dead slow. I find usually in games with monster offense things usually slow down the next day, especially in a game with an early start that ended late the night prior. I expect Gonzalez and Teheran to fully take care of business, which will provide me with a flawless week. Take the under here.

Free Pick: UNDER 7.5