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Nationals vs. Marlins MLB Pick – August 2nd

Well, all good things must come to an end… and from a Cincinnati perspective, I suppose it wasn’t such a “good thing” after all. The lengthy streak of Homer Bailey disasters and Cincinnati runline losses was abruptly halted last night at PNC Park and Bailey recaptured some of the magic from his PNC no-no back in 2012, allowing just a run in the first innings and then nothing for the remainder of his evening. The Reds got a lift from 23-year old Jesse Winker, fresh off the plane from AAA Louisville, and he and his mates touched up Taillon early and never looked back in the 9-1 victory.

We took a loss, but despite the lopsided result, it wasn’t a terrible statistical play given the pitching matchup and trends on paper. Oh well. Back on the grind this evening.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Washington Nationals -115 at Miami Marlins +105 (Total: 9.5)
A.J. Cole (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs. Vance Worley (0-2, 6.42 ERA)

Last night was an interesting night for the Nationals. First, there was the scare of Max Scherzer leaving the game in the second inning. Later, he reveled, while in high spirits, that is was just neck spasms and no big deal. Then, there was the “remember our historical bullpen issues??” blown lead Miami rallied from down 6-1 to emerge as 7-6 victors.

Alas, Washington will gladly trade the defeat for the news that Scherzer was going to be OK. They are already without Strasburg, which brings us to tonight’s starter, young A.J. Cole. Cole was good in his only start of 2017, a six-inning, one earned run victory against the Philadelphia Phillies, but that came all the way back on May 6th. This is his first appearance in the Majors since, and frankly, were it not for injury, the move wouldn’t have been warranted. He has posted a 4-4 record with a 5.66 ERA in 16 starts in Syracuse. Not great.

But there is An excellent chance his mates will have his back tonight. Washington has feasted on journeyman pitchers like tonight’s Vance Worley. The 30-year old has mixed starts and relief appearances this season, with little sustained success in either role. Daniel Murphy in particular should have some wide-eyes tonight, as he is batting .545 in 24 plate appearances against Worley.

The Nats hope they can get a quality start, six reasonable innings out of Cole, but if not, their beleaguered bullpen was bolstered at the trade deadline, adding three bullpen arms right, Brandon Kintzler (28 saves), Sean Doolittle (seven saves) and Ryan Madson (1.83 ERA).

I’ll take the better team feasting on some subpar pitching tonight in Miami, especially at a very reasonable price.

Today’s MLB Pick: WASHINGTON NATIONALS TO WIN -115

 

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