Nationals vs. Mets Pick – April 23rd

We got back on the winner board yesterday with the easy ‘under’ on the Nationals 3-1 win over New York.  The Nats have taken the first two of the series and will be looking for a sweep tonight and a commanding early division lead of 5.5 games over the Mets.

Elsewhere, the Cubbies seem to be awakening after a rough first few weeks.  They’ve won four straight games and have scored 20 runs already this weekend against the Cincinnati Reds.  Of course, both Lester and Arrieta got roughed up, so things aren’t PERFECT on the Northside, but certainly are looking up.

Another team looking to cap off an impressive weekend divisional sweep are the Colorado Rockies.  They surged to 12-6 on the season by beating up on the Giants.  The Diamondbacks are keeping pace with them, but both are already four games ahead of the Dodgers and six ahead of the Giants.  It’s early, but the NL West could be very interesting in 2017 – perhaps the most competitive division in the League.

Let’s see if we can cap off the weekend with another winner.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Washington Nationals -150 at New York Mets +141 (Total: 7.5)
Max Scherzer (2-1, 1.37 ERA) vs. Zack Wheeler (1-1, 5.52 ERA)

This one is simple for me.  I get Max Scherzer pitching against a team that has scored just 23 runs in their last eight game, or 2.75 per contest.  Add in the fact the Nats have won four in a row and are facing one of the easier opportunities in the Mets loaded rotation, and the smart money is on the Nationals today.

Minus 150 is a fair line, but I think Scherzer is going to be spectacular tonight, making the +115 runline enticing.  Scherzer enjoys pitching against the Mets, having posted a 1.83 career ERA in ten starts against them – including his no-hitter (just an error prevented it from being a perfect game) in late 2015 when he also struck out 17 batters.  Quite literally, it was one of the best pitched games in Major League Baseball history.

Meanwhile, Wheeler is just 2-6 with a 5.09 ERA in his career against the Nationals.  He was better in his most recent outing, allowing just a run in five innings with seven strikeouts and two walks, but his season ERA is right in line with his career against the Nationals and his home ERA this season is 6.00.

This one is easy.  Better team, better pitcher, better health – I’ll take the Nats and will go for a little extra juice on the runline.


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