Yesterday was a nice 2-0 night, with the Mets and Rockies staying comfortably UNDER the 10 run total in a 3-2 ballgame, and the Dodgers and Phillies eclipsing the 7.5 total, also with ease, as the Dodgers earned their sixth straight win. They are still in last place, but I don’t think they will be for too much longer. That team is really talented and has the potential to make a lot of people who piled on them early look real dumb.
Which brings me to my two bold predictions, that I’d like to get down in a column early – most likely just to give you all some ammunition to make fun of me should either longer-looking prediction fall miserably short… but here they are.
We are just a few games from the official half-way point of the season, and the Dodgers are in last place and the Pittsburgh Pirates have pulled even with the St. Louis Cardinals and have the best record in major league baseball. One of these teams will make the playoffs and one won’t – and the team smiling will be in Los Angeles. I like Pittsburgh, and it’d be fun for baseball to see them, like last year’s Orioles, finally re-taste some former glory, but look at the amount of innings pitched, their dismal team batting average and their far lower than expected run differential, and I think we are lined up for a repeat of recent season’s second-half swoons… it’ll be an interesting team to keep an eye on from a wagering perspective throughout the late summer and fall.
On to today’s pick:
Washington Nationals +150 at New York Mets -162 (Total: 6.5)
Ross Detwiler (2-6, 4.16 ERA) vs. Matt Harvey (7-1, 2.06 ERA)
On paper, this pitching matchup isn’t even fair. Matt Harvey has taken the world by storm, and is showing no signs of slowing. He is emerging as the favorite to start the All-Star Game in his home park in his rookie season – it’d be a helluva story for sure, and a well-deserved honor. He is 2-1 with a 1.75 ERA and a WHIP of 0.75 in his last three outings.
Meanwhile, Detwiler has been atrocious, going 0-2 with a 8.59 ERA and lasted just 14.2 innings in his last three outings.
I like the Mets to jump all over the Nats tonight and to get completely shut down by the scintillating Matt Harvey. The line at -160 doesn’t have the best value, but if you are feeling a little more daring, you can get some nice bang for your buck on the -1.5 runline at +145. I’m taking both and doubling-up on Harvey tonight.
Free Pick: New York Mets to WIN -162 & Mets -1.5 (+145)