Nationals vs. Mets Pick MLB – Sept 3rd

We kept the beat rolling last night with an easy winner as the Reds and Cardinals ran into some young, unheralded, talented starting pitchers and the bats appropriately stalled en route to a dramatic walk-off 3-2 Reds victory. Anthony DiSclafani didn’t get the decision but the Reds ace delivered yet another quality start and is beginning to emerge as a possible #1 starter for the future of the rebuilding Reds.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals just seem to keep plugging them in from their endless fountain of pitching talent.  Lest anyone fear the Cards have been too good for too long and are ripe for a rebuild, not so fast…

Meanwhile the Cubs won their fifth straight to close closer to “greatest season in Cubs history” official territory and the loss for the Giants further complicates their NL West division dreams as the last two games of the Cubs series have Arrieta and Lackey waiting for them this weekend.  However, the Dodgers, Mets, Pirates and Marlins all lost as well, so no ground has been ceded yet.

It may be the start of football this weekend, but don’t bail on the Diamond quite yet, things are just starting to get REALLLLLLY good… Madison Bumgarner vs. Jake Arrieta today at 2:20 EST???!?

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Today’s Free Pick:

Washington Nationals -130 at New York Mets +120 (Total: 7.5)

Tanner Roarke (14-7, 2.87 ERA) vs. Robert Gselleman (1-1, 3.72 ERA)

Tanner Roarke has been one of the better stories this baseball season.  Much like Kyle Hendricks in Chicago, he is making an earnest Cy Young case despite playing alongside two FAR more famous and well-known teammates.  Roarke has been the top pitcher in the rotation and despite his fir non-quality start in over a month two outings ago, he bounces back for seven scoreless innings in Philly and is poised for another big start tonight.

The Mets will counter with a new addition to the rotation, 23-year old Robert Gselleman.  Unlike some of the other young fireballers, his promotion is motivated by injuries more than a compelling performance NEED to get him to the Big Apple immediately.

He will have his work cut out for him.  He is facing off against the seventh-lowest ERA in the NL and an offense that averages nearly a full run more per game than the one backing him up.  I like the Nats to take advantage of the situation early, stake Roarke to a full early runs of cushion and cruise into the victory.  I am flirting with the more aggressive runline wager of +125, as I think Roarke is due for a really good outing against the scuffling Mets offense, but I will keep my pick a little safer today and just grab the win at -130.  If you want a little better odds, you could split the wager to get your overall risk down to just about even money.

Today’s Free Pick:  Washington Nationals to WIN -130