It was a big day for us at the sportsgeek.com yesterday, going 3-0 with our MLB picks. Even better than the wins were the payouts, as both underdog picks (Pirates and Phillies) won their games and the UNDER 9.5 run wager on the Detroit vs. Pittsburgh game was a comfy 1-0, eleven inning affair. We will try to keep the winning streak rolling today as most rivalry interleague series flip-flop home and away teams for the second half of the series (a really cool idea by MLB – makes for a fun week of matchups with a playoff-like feel).
On to today’s free picks…
Washington Nationals +104 at Baltimore Orioles -110 (Total: 7)
Jordan Zimmermann (8-2, 1.71 ERA) vs. Chris Tilman (4-2, 3.68 ERA)
We made a killing yesterday backing road underdogs with very favorable pitching matchups, and I’m heading the same way today. The chance to get Jordan Zimmermann and his top five wins, ERA and WHIP at plus money? It’s a little too good to pass up.
The Orioles Chris TIlman has done a nice job this season, and I don’t expect him to get beat up by the Nats lineup tonight, but he is likely going to have to be near-flawless opposing Zimmermann tonight. That’s asking a bit much, even facing a lineup with Bryce Harper tonight.
The Nats are 23-4 this season when scoring three or more runs. I think they scratch out just enough to give Zimmermann the cushion he needs to become the first National League hurler with nine wins.
Free Pick: Washington Nationals to WIN +104
Cincinnati Reds +125 at Cleveland Indians -133 (Total: 7.5)
Bronson Arroyo (5-4, 3.39 ERA) vs. Justin Masterson (7-3, 3.29 ERA)
This is another excellent chance to pick a road underdog and get a great plus-money line. Bronson Arroyo isn’t the flashiest pitcher on the Reds staff, and with Johnny Cueto, Mat Latos and Homer Bailey (not to mention Broxton and Aroldis Chapman in the pen), he goes largely unnoticed. However, the National League leader in innings pitched over the past seven seasons has been more than just an innings-eater for the Reds this season. Arroyo enters with a 3.39 ERA, but a perfect 3-0 record with a 1.39 ERA in his last three starts.
Masterson has been excellent for the Indians as well, but he might HAVE to be tonight to cool off the red-hot Reds. They have won eight of their last ten, and 18 of 23 overall and boast a soaring +72 run differential. The Indians have lost five in a row, including two straight to the Reds this week, and have been outscored 33-14 over the five game losing streak.
Cincinnati has scored four or more runs in nine of their last ten games. The way Arroyo has been throwing the ball, four runs should be sufficient again tonight.
Free Pick: Cincinnati Reds to WIN +125