Nationals vs. Phillies MLB Pick – September 10th

The Philadelphia Phillies need to change their fortunes quickly, as they are heading to the finish line with their tail between their legs. They aren’t out of the picture yet, but they better use this week to pick up some steam for one final push in the latter half of September. The Phillies are still in the fold with a record of 74-68, but are watching their chances sour as the Braves pull away. Philly are down by 4.5 games, which isn’t an impossible mountain to climb.

They are also 4.5 back when it comes to the last wildcard. Meanwhile, the Braves won a 9-5 decision in Arizona on Sunday. They managed to take three of four against the Diamondbacks to put a good-sized dent in the Phillies chances. While the Phillies are entertaining the Nationals over the next few days, the Braves stay out west and face the Giants in the Bay Area.

After losing their second in a row against the Mets on Sunday, the Phillies moved to 2-6 in their last eight games. That’s not what you want to see in a pennant race. The worst of it for the Phillies was giving up 16 runs to the Mets’ offense. If you haven’t been paying attention, the Mets have had trouble scoring this season.

They’ve been playing better in the second-half, but it’s still inexcusable for a team looking for the postseason to put worth a shoddy performance like that. Jake Arrieta hopes to get the Phils back in the win column at home where they have been a better team in 2018. He is responsible for a 9-4 Phillies win in his last outing. Arrieta and Nola are the only pitchers to lead Philadelphia to wins since the beginning of September. Arrieta gets the nod on Monday night, while the Nationals turn to Erick Fedde. Get our free Nationals vs. Phillies pick below.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Erick Fedde (1-3, 6.00 ERA) vs. Jake Arrieta (10-9, 3.61 ERA)

Erick Fedde has been attempting to make an impression on management for next season. The Nationals aren’t going to make a run at the postseason, so it’s more about figuring out what’s going to happen in the future. There will be a bidding war in the offseason for Bryce Harper, who has watched his batting average continue to improve in the second-half. I think it’s pretty simple for him, whoever offers the best contract he’s going to take it.

We’ll see if the Nationals are willing to open the wallet. Fedde is just hoping to stay in the major leagues. With a healthy rotation, I don’t think the Nats are interested in doing that, though, Fedde enters with an ERA of 6.00 and has been getting rocked on the road. He goes into Philadelphia with an 8.10 ERA, 1.80 WHIP, and .400 OBA on the road. The UNLV product has gotten shelled against the Phillies, as they’ve hit .370 with a .442 OBP against him in 46 at-bats. Conversely, the Nationals are hitting .271 against Arrieta. Fedde posted an ERA of 7.36 and 1.73 WHIP in his last three outings.

Harper has had little success against Arrieta, as he’s gone 4-of-18 with no long balls. Arrieta hasn’t been pitching well lately either, but I give him a better chance of bouncing back than Fedde. Arrieta has been better at home as well, with an ERA of 3.27 and 1.19 WHIP. Overall, the Phillies have been a better team at home. They own a record of 43-26 at Citizens Bank Park vs 31-42 on the road. Arrieta breaks out of the slump, as do the Phillies against the Nationals on Monday night.

The Bet: PHILLIES (-115)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.