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Nationals vs. Phillies Pick – May 6th

We notched a second-straight MLB winner last night.  Can we keep it rolling with the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies tonight?

We cashed a second straight MLB winner last night with the Cincinnati Reds easily crushing the San Francisco Giants 13-3 after touching up Matt Cain for nine runs in less than four innings, technically the worst outing of his career in terms of runs allowed. I expected a regression to the mean, both because Cain’s start was SO MUCH better than his last five years, and also because he had pitched all his games against San Diego, Atlanta, Kansas City and Los Angeles – some of the worst statistical offenses in baseball, but I didn’t expect the single worst outing of his long, successful career.

Weird fact: 40-year old Bronson Arroyo gave up a home run to 21-year old rookie Christian Arroyo. The younger Arroyo is not related to Bronson, even distantly, though the two know each other as both attended the same high school and played for the same coach…

The Yankees provided the biggest excitement of the day as Brett Gardener belted a three-run homer in the ninth to spearhead a dramatic 3-2 comeback win over the Cubs in Wrigley. The next two games of the series get a nationally televised audience through Fox and ESPN as we get an early, tantalizing dream World Series preview…

Let’s keep it rolling today and see if we can notch a third straight MLB winner.

Today’s MLB Pick:

Washington Nationals -102 vs Philadelphia Phillies +102 (Total: 8.5)
A.J. Cole (first start of 2017) vs. Vince Velasquez (2-2, 5.47 ERA)

The Nationals will be sending 25-year old youngster A.J. Cole to the mound for his first start of the season, but pitching inexperience isn’t nearly enough to be daunting for this ridiculous offensive juggernaut. The Nationals have scored an MLB-high 183 runs this season and yesterday homers from Ryan Zimmerman (runaway April MVP) and Anthony Rendon powered the Nats to the 4-2 win despite missing Bryce Harper who is day-to-day with groin soreness. Even with Harper quite likely out of the lineup today, Vince Velasquez will have his work cut out for him to drop his mid-fives ERA. The Phillies starter has only thrown 10 innings against the Nats, allowing seven runs.

A.J. Cole is more “spot-starter” than “lets get a look at this dazzling rookie” today. His AAA performance has been medicore at best, posting 6.63 ERA and 1.78 WHIP with 14 strike outs against 10 walks in just 19 innings. The Phillies bats have been muted during their four-game losing streak (1-6 in their last seven and 3-7 in their last ten) but should have a chance to wake-up today.

This game has OVER written all over it. Even if Cole IS good, no one seems to be able to hold down the Nats right now, so why counter-intuitive bet on it happening today?

I’ll take the OVER and look forward to some fireworks tonight in Philly.

Today’s MLB Pick: RUN TOTAL OVER 8.5

 

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