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Nationals vs Phillies Pick MLB – June 19th + Bonus Pick

It was a tough night for our picks on the blog, and I’ll try to bounce back with a few baseball winners today – but it was an amazing night for sports with the Heat dramatically staying alive in one of the best NBA Finals games I’ve ever seen – to force a Game Seven tomorrow night in Miami.

Be sure to come back to thesportsgeek.com for a complete breakdown of the final chapter of an epic series.

On to today’s baseball picks…

Washington Nationals -115 at Philadelphia Phillies +105 (Total: 7.5)

Gio Gonzalez (3-3, 3.40 ERA) vs. Kyle Kendrick (6-4, 3.76 ERA)

The Nats continue to tread water with all their injuries, constantly bobbing between just under and just over the .500 mark.  Tonight they have a favorable pitching matchup with Gio Gonzalez on the mound, even though Gio hasn’t been quite as sharp this season.  He has been good over his past three starts, posting a 1.80 ERA, yet he hasn’t earned a decision in any of those games and his team is an improbably 0-3.  It’s been that kind of first two months for the Nationals.

Meanwhile, Kyle Kendrick has had some struggles recently to inflate his season numbers a bit.  He is 1-1 with 5.49 ERA in his past three outings.  However, against a Nationals lineup full of injuries and offensive struggles, tonight seems like a good night to get back on track.

Either way, this feels like a low scoring affair waiting to happen, so I’ll take the UNDER 7.5 run total tonight.  Gio has been excellent lately but it hasn’t led to any wins.  If he gets the same lack of run support tonight, this game has 3-2 or 3-1 written all over it.

Free Pick:  Run TOTAL UNDER 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers -115 at Houston Astros +107 (Total: 8.5)

Kyle Lohse (2-6, 3.84 ERA) vs. Erik Bedard (2-3, 4.82 ERA)

Think Kyle Lohse misses the Cardinals?  Gone are the days of cushy run support and shutdown backend bullpens.  Welcome to Milwaukee and mediocrity.  The Brewers are fresh off an embarrassing 10-1 loss to Houston last night.  The simple law of averages says it is extremely unlikely Houston puts two similar efforts together consecutively; they haven’t all of 2013.

Another thing in the Brewers favor tonight is the recent performance of Kyle Lohse.  He has shown some signs lately of being the big money pitcher they thought they were signing in the offseason.  He is 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.90 WHIP in his last three outings.  I like him to shut down a pedestrian Astros offense tonight and to prevail over their former NL Central mates.

Free Pick:  Milwaukee Brewers to WIN -115