New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB Pick – August 15th

The MLB is set up with a quieter night of baseball with ten games up on the board for Thursday. One of those matchups will be the conclusion to the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves series. These two teams are fighting for positioning late in the season, which has led to a solid series so far. This game will start at around 7:20 PM Eastern time on Thursday night.

New York has earned a record of 61-59 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL East division. The Mets are ten games behind Atlanta, who is in the top spot, but they are in a battle for the wild card spot. New York is three games out of a wild card spot and have won fifteen of their last nineteen games. The Mets will look to earn a big win on Thursday night to keep this hot streak going.

The Braves are sitting in the first place of the NL East with a record of 72-50 to this point in the season. Atlanta has a comfortable six-game lead on the Washington Nationals, who are in second place of the division. The Braves have won six of their last eight games and will look to finish with a sweep against the Mets on Thursday.

The Mets and the Braves have played plenty throughout this season. This will be the last game between these two teams in Atlanta. The Braves took the first two games of this series and will look to earn one more win to complete the sweep. New York was one of the hottest teams in the MLB coming into this series, but Atlanta has found a way to neutralize the Mets in this series.

Previous Matchups

The first series between these two teams was between April 11-14. Amed Rosario hit a three-run homer in the second inning, while Pete Alonso had a two-run home run later in the game to give the Mets a 6-3 win in the first game. New York rode a four-run fourth inning to a 6-2 win in the second game of the series. The Braves bounced back to win the third game 11-7 and the fourth game 7-3.

The second series between the Mets and the Braves was in Atlanta again on July 17-19. Mike Soroka pitched six innings, allowing six hits and three runs in the first game as the Braves won 12-3. Pete Alonso, Jeff McNeil, and Michael Conforto all hit home runs for New York to help the Mets win the second game 10-2. Josh Donaldson and Freddie Freeman both had two-run homers to give Atlanta a 7-2 win in the final game of this series.

The third series was in New York between June 28-30. Johan Camargo hit a three RBI double in the eighth inning of the first game to help give the Braves a 6-2 win. Nick Markakis tied up the second game with a solo home run and right afterwards Austin Riley gave the Braves the go-ahead run with his own homer as Atlanta won 5-4. The Mets rode a five-run eighth inning to an 8-5 win in the third game of this series.

The first game of this series was on August 13. The Braves had twelve hits and five runs off of Zack Wheeler and Max Fried allowed six hits and one run as Atlanta took the game 5-3. The second game was a close one. The Braves had a five-run seventh inning to retake the lead and held off a Mets surge in the top of the ninth to pull away with a 6-4 win.

Atlanta holds an 8-4 record against New York throughout this season. The Braves have been the better team, but I believe that the Mets will look to bounce back in a big way on Thursday night. New York needs to get a streak going to stay relevant in the NL wild-card race.

Batting

Jeff McNeil has earned 132 hits, 15 home runs and 55 RBI’s this season. Amed Rosario has put up 126 hits, 12 homers and 49 RBI’s. Pete Alonso has 110 hits, 38 home runs, 85 RBI’s and an OPS of .952 this season. Michael Conforto has 102 hits, 25 home runs and 67 RBI’s. Wilson Ramos, J.D. Davis, and Todd Frazier all have double-digit home runs this season as well.

Ronald Acuna Jr. continues to break out for Atlanta. He has put up 148 hits, 34 home runs, 82 RBI’s and an OPS of .921 this season. Freddie Freeman has earned 144 hits, 29 homers, 96 RBI’s and an OPS of .972. Ozzie Albies has 145 hits, 18 home runs and 66 RBI’s, while Josh Donaldson has earned 110 hits, 26 homers and 69 RBI’s.

These two teams both have some solid depth down their hitting lineup. Atlanta has been hurt by the absence of Nick Markakis, Dansby Swanson and Austin Riley who all have earned double-digit homers this season. The Mets had more hits in Wednesday night’s loss, but I expect a good matchup between these two teams hitting on Thursday.

Pitchers

New York will have Marcus Stroman make his third start for them on Thursday night. Stroman has a 3.20 ERA and a WHIP of 1.289 through 23 starts this season. In those starts, he has a record of 6-11. Stroman’s last start came against the Washington Nationals, where he allowed nine hits and four runs through six innings.

Julio Teheran will get the start on the mound for the Braves on Thursday night. Teheran has a 7-7 record through 25 starts this season. He has an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.277 in those starts. Teheran’s allowed five hits and one run through seven innings in his last start to earn his seventh win.

These two pitchers have put up similar numbers throughout this season. Stroman was one of the top players on the move at the trade deadline. Stroman has not recorded a win or a loss through his first two games with the Mets. Teheran has put up a 1-1 record through three starts against New York this season.

Pick Overview

The Braves have been able to earn a win in the first two games of this series, but I believe that New York will bounce back with a win on Thursday night. These two teams match up well on the offensive side and I really like Stroman in this game. He has gotten a good feel for the Mets in his first two starts and I think he will earn his first win for New York in the final game of this series.

BetOnline has Atlanta listed as a -120 against the money line for this game. This implies that the Braves will win this game around 54.5 percent of the time. I believe that this game should be closer to even with Stroman starting. I like New York to finish off this series with a tough win against their division rival.

My Pick
NEW YORK METS
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.