The New York Mets and Chicago Cubs have one more game at Wrigley Field before going on their All-Star break. The Mets have a sweep in mind after a 2-1 and 4-3 win. Both matchups were close ones, with the Mets winning in extra innings after a dominant showing from Taijuan Walker.
— New York Mets (@Mets) July 17, 2022
For the second straight day, the Mets and Cubs went to extras, with the same result unfolding. The Mets scored 2 runs in the top of the 10th while the Cubs could only respond with 1 run. With the win, the Mets carry a record of 58-34 into the first-half season finale.
Is this going to hold for the Mets in the second half, though? It almost feels like everyone is waiting for a big injury or two and the downslide to begin in Queens.
This has been usually how the Mets act when it looks like they’re about to have success. The health of Jacob deGrom may determine what happens next in the NL East.
That lead is only down to 2.5, but nobody expected the Mets to just run away with the NL East, right? It was clear the Braves were still getting over their World Series win and needed a minute to put everything together.
The Cubs are 34-57 and in a tie with the Cincinnati Reds for the worst record in the NL Central. If I’m forced to choose a team to finish last, I am pointing towards the Cubs instead of the Reds.
David Peterson is scheduled to have the starting call for the Mets at Wrigley. The Cubs are expected to counter with ex-KBO pitcher, Adrian Sampson. Head below for our free Mets vs. Cubs prediction on July 17, 2022.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Live Betting Odds:
|New York Mets||OFF||-150||OFF|
|Team Data||New York Mets||Chicago Cubs|
|Batting Average Away/Home||.250||.249|
|Runs Per 9||4.82||4.20|
|Team ERA Away/Home||3.92||4.36|
Mets vs. Cubs Prediction:
Adrian Sampson spent 2020 in South Korea with the Lotte Giants. I know this well because, during the Covid-19 lockdowns, the KBO was the most bet-on league in the world. Sampson did not have success and was surprisingly found a major league job despite his difficulties.
Good on Sampson for attracting the Cubs, and good on the Cubs for taking a flier on him because it’s worked out well so far. He recorded an ERA of 2.80 and a 1.08 WHIP through ten attempts.
I’m not ready to say Sampson can’t revert to his previous form, though. He’s entering this start with an ERA of 3.33 and a 1.11 WHIP in 27 innings of work.
He doesn’t have the biggest sample size of action for us to say, okay, Sampson has finally figured it out. Sampson is going into Wrigley Field with an ERA of 4.41 and a 1.29 WHIP in his previous three attempts.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Trends:
- Record (Last 10): 7-3
- 4-0 overall in their previous four games versus the NL Central
- 6-1 overall in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter
- 16-5 overall in their previous versus a team with a winning percentage below 40%
- 7-3 overall in their previous ten fourth game of a series
- 6-1 overall in their previous seven games
- Record (Last 10): 1-9
- 1-6 overall in their previous seven games on a Sunday
- 5-22 overall in their previous 27 games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 40%
- 1-4 overall in their previous five games after losing the first three games of a series
- 8-21 overall in their previous 29 games versus the NL East
- 1-6 overall in their previous seven games versus the Mets
The Mets have notched 2 home runs and 4 RBIs versus Sampson in 19 at-bats. Mark Canha is responsible for both home runs. Sampson must be better with David Peterson active on the other side.
It’s been a consistent, quality season for Peterson. He hasn’t allowed more than 3 earned runs in five straight starts and in seven of his previous eight assignments.
The Mets should do their part at Wrigley Field on Sunday afternoon. They hear the Braves knocking, and should push back on the final day before the All-Star break.