New York Mets vs. LA Dodgers Pick – MLB June 4, 2022

The New York Mets will look to stop the Los Angeles Dodgers and prevent three straight losses at Dodger Stadium. The Mets are in danger of going into the series finale looking at getting swept on Sunday.

They are coming off a 2-0 and 6-1 final, with Tony Gonsolin and Tyler Anderson the story at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers’ starters cooled off the Mets’ bats, with the hot offense struggling to score in Los Angeles.

This is the same Dodgers team that was just swept by the Pittsburgh Pirates. It goes to show how the best teams have their bad moments during a long baseball schedule.

It’s also a lesson not to unload on big moneyline favorites or risk ruining your bankroll. All is well at Dodger Stadium now, as the Dodgers are beating up on the Mets, a team that was the first to win 35 games in the National League.

The Dodgers got to 35 wins on the season with the win last night.

Chris Bassitt was fine last night, but he had to be better with Anderson on fire. Bassitt allowed 5 hits and 3 earned runs across 6 innings. When the ball is handed over to the Dodgers’ bullpen, it’s game over.

The Mets have a stanglehold on the NL East at 35-19 and an 8.5-game lead over the Braves. They are still in control despite hitting turbulence at Dodger Stadium.

David Peterson will look to put the Mets back on track. The verdict is still out on Peterson, who has been in good shape at times, but I’m not ready to anoint the lefty who struggled in his second season a year ago.

Walker Buehler is scheduled to counter for the Dodgers. He’s not in his usual form going into this one, but we’ll see if he bounces back at home. Head below for our free Mets vs. Dodgers pick on June 4, 2022.

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
NY Mets +1.5 (-130) +148 Over 8.5 (-120)
LA Dodgers -1.5 (+110) -180 Under 8.5 (+100)
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Team Data NY Mets LA Dodgers
Overall Record 35-19 35-17
Away/Home Record 16-11 17-8
Batting Average .263 .253
Batting Average Away/Home .253 .251
Runs Per 9 4.68 5.88
Team ERA 3.64 2.78
Team ERA Away/Home 4.08 3.38

Mets vs. Dodgers Prediction:

The Mets were red-hot and confident going into Dodger Stadium. They won six in a row and the best record in the National League, all of this without Jacob deGrom. Things were going a lot differently in Queens, with the offense scoring instead of being a liability.

Even though they’ve had a couple of bad days at the dish, the Mets are the second-best in the majors, with a team batting average of .263. They’re third in OPS and runs per 9 innings at 5.10 a game.

This hasn’t appeared to be the case in California for the Mets in this series. However, the Mets need to have some confidence that they can bounce back against Walker Buehler.

Buehler is looking ripe for getting into trouble as he has in a long time recently. He finished with an ERA of 2.47 and a 0.97 WHIP in 33 starts a season ago.

Buehler is still in good shape, with an ERA of 3.22 and a 1.24 WHIP.

However, he’s been a bit wild on the bump as of late and uncharacteristically struggling at Dodger Stadium. In Buehler’s last three starts he has an ERA of 4.24 and a 1.41 WHIP.

He has allowed 6 earned runs and 13 hits in his last 12 innings of work on the mound.

And he hasn’t been his usual self at Dodger Stadium. Buehler has a 4.55 ERA and 1.58 WHIP at home.

New York Mets vs. LA Dodgers Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 18-4 overall in their previous 22 games after a loss
  • 8-2 overall in their previous ten third game of a series
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games as an underdog
  • OVER is 8-3 in their previous 11 games
  • OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter


  • Record (Last 10): 6-4
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the NL East
  • 45-13 overall in their previous 58 games at home
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus a left-handed starter
  • OVER is 9-3-2 in their previous 14 games at home
  • OVER is 4-1 in their previous five games on a Saturday

  • David Peterson started off hot this season for the Mets. He started through his first three starts with 1 run allowed. However, hitters are beginning to figure Peterson out now.

    Since then, Peterson has notched an ERA of 5.17 and a 1.34 WHIP in three outings.

    He’s coming off his worst effort this season, as Peterson was tagged for 6 hits and 4 earned runs in 4.2 innings against the Washington Nationals. The offense came to play, though, with 13 runs in a 13-5 win.

    The offensive abilities of the Dodgers are well-documented, with the most runs scored per inning at 5.48. They are also first in OPS, .767, and fifth in batting average, .253.

    I’m not confident in Peterson holding up in this one at Dodger Stadium. He may need the run support again this time.

    After a couple of quiet nights at the plate, expect more runs on Saturday night in LA. A final score of at least 6-3 or 6-4 looks accurate. The total looks a shade too low at Dodger Stadium.


    Mets vs. Dodgers Pick
    OVER 8.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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