New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick – August 19, 2020

    Jake deGrom (1-2, 2.45 ERA) vs. Pablo Lopez (2-1, 2.25 ERA)

The Miami Marlins will try again against the New York Mets on Wednesday evening after a non-competitive outing yesterday. The Mets were 11-4 winners on Monday to get this series started and then a 8-3 win last night. Corey Oswalt came through with a decent performance, with 5 hits and 2 earned runs allowed through 4.1 innings of work. The bullpen went the rest of the game with just 1 earned run conceded.

The Marlins, like the Orioles, were getting attention early on for their impressive start to the season. However, the Marlins have lost four straight games, and like the Orioles, are struggling right now and seem to be experiencing a dose of variance. It was a surprising start for both of these teams, who many had finishing last in their respective divisions. That said, it’s a shortened season and over a small sample size, it is possible to get hot and look better than they might actually be.

If you bought into the hype and invested in the Marlins or Orioles to win the World Series, I might have some bad news for you. That’s not to say the Marlins and Orioles aren’t going in the right direction. They seem to be in a much better position than they were last season. And if you were to say that the Marlins would be 9-8 right now before the campaign started, that’d be viewed as a massive win. They have some games to make up, but are a game behind the Braves for first in the division.

Don’t count on the Marlins being that close by the end of the regular season. This is still a race between the Braves and Phillies, like everyone envisioned it to begin with. The Mets are likely going to be stuck in the middle between the bottom and top again. There has been some good news for the Mets, such as the emergence of Dominic Smith in the absence of Yeonis Cespedes.

Cespedes is no longer the player he used to be, but him leaving the team so abruptly couldn’t have been good for team morale. In any case, Jacob deGrom continues to go about his business nicely. He will get the starting nod, while Marlins standout Pablo Lopez counters for the Marlins. Head below for our free New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins pick for August 19, 2020.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Mets -1.5 (-127)
  • Marlins +1.5 (+107)
Moneyline:

  • Mets (-215)
  • Marlins (+196)
Total Points:

  • Over 7.5 (-110)
  • Under 7.5 (-110)

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NY Mets vs. Miami Marlins Prediction:

There have been some pitchers in the majors that have wasted away on bad teams. The biggest name that comes to mind has to be Felix Hernandez. Hernandez never got to experience team success with the Mariners, but did have a lot of individual success. I hope that Jacob deGrom doesn’t fall victim to the same thing with the Mets. He deserves a shot at a World Series for his hard work. DeGrom heads into Wednesday with an ERA of 2.45 and 0.95 WHIP. He is on pace for another terrific season with the Mets.

DeGrom missed his last start because of neck stiffness. He was scheduled to pitch last Friday, but was scratched because of the discomfort in his neck. Fortunately, it was nothing serious and deGrom is right back on Wednesday. In his most recent appearance, deGrom gave up 2 earned runs through 7 innings against the Marlins on August 9. The Marlins hit .198 against deGrom in that contest. Overall, the Marlins are hitting .249 versus deGrom in 109 at-bats. He will have to be sharp with Pablo Lopez on the other side for the Marlins.

The brightest spot for the Marlins in 2020 has been the effort of Lopez. The 24-year-old is breaking out and might be the best talent the Marlins have had since Jose Fernandez. Lopez enters Wednesday night with a 2.25 ERA and 1.13 WHIP through 16 innings. He held the Mets to 2 run and a .184 batting average in their last meeting. Lopez didn’t get the win, but he did his part in a 4-2 loss against deGrom. A similar final score with deGrom and Lopez on the bump looks like an accurate outcome on Wednesday night at Marlins Park.

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The Bet
UNDER 7.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.