New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick – MLB May 2, 2021

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies will close out the weekend on Sunday Night Baseball at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the first matchup behind a strong performance from Chase Anderson. Anderson was in good form with 5 hits and 1 earned run conceded through 5 innings of work.

The Phillies didn’t get much offense, but they didn’t need it with how Anderson and the bullpen was working on the hill. Their offense produced double the output with 4 runs on Saturday, but the pitching staff wasn’t as strong. Zach Wheeler gave up 7 hits and 4 earned runs in 7 innings of work to bury the Phillies chances. A late run in the top of the 9th was the dagger.

The NL East has gotten to an ugly start, and it isn’t just the Phillies and Mets. There isn’t a single team in the division above .500 at the moment. The Phillies, Nationals, and Mets are all a game below .500. The NL East is wide open with the Miami Marlins in fifth, but just 1.5 games behind the top three for the lead in the division.

It’s open for anyone to win despite the Atlanta Braves still the most viable threat. The Braves have to be feeling thankful that this slow stretch hasn’t hurt them like it could have. With everyone else failing to go on a run, the Braves are only a game away from the lead in the NL East. The Braves go into Sunday with a record of 12-15, and still have to be the favorites to win. They have the greatest potential to catch fire at any moment.

Philadelphia hopes to have Bryce Harper back in the line up Sunday. He was hit in the face with a 97 mph fastball against the St. Louis Cardinals, and is lucky that it didn’t do nearly as much damage as it did. In fact, Harper avoided suffering any broken bones or a concussion, which was incredible given what looked like a lot worse.

The Mets will look to David Peterson to finish off this series in Philadelphia with a strong performance. Peterson got his feet wet in the major leagues with nine starts a season ago. It was a good introduction to the majors for Peterson. Veteran Zach Eflin is expected to get his sixth start of the 2021 campaign tonight. Head below for our free Mets vs. Phillies pick on May 2, 2021.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Odds:


  • Mets +1.5 (-205)
  • Phillies -1.5 (+175)

  • Mets -103
  • Phillies -107

  • Over 8.5 (-120)
  • Under 8.5 (+100)


Mets vs. Phillies Prediction:

David Peterson made a promising debut through nine starts in 2020 with the Mets. He did well for himself with an ERA of 3.44 and 1.21 WHIP. The only problem with rookie pitchers getting off to a fast start is trying to pinpoint if it was just beginner’s luck or a sign of things to come. When they don’t get off to the best of starts, there is always room for improvement to impress. After that successful campaign, Peterson has no room to regress in the eyes of fans.

Peterson hasn’t gotten off to a fast start, as he goes into Philadelphia with an ERA of 5.59 and 1.24 WHIP through four starts. In his season opener on April 7, the Phillies KO’d Peterson for a 13.50 ERA with 7 hits and 6 earned runs through 4 innings. He settled down in his next start against the Phillies on April 14, with 2 hits and 1 earned run allowed in 6 innings. Since that performance, Peterson has allowed 5 earned runs through 9.1 innings against the Cubs and Red Sox. Didi Gregorius, Bryce Harper, and Rhys Hoskins are all hitting better than .333 against Peterson.

He has struggled mightily on the road with an ERA of 11.05 and 2.05 WHIP through 8 innings on the hill. Teams have recorded a .432 OBP against Peterson on the road. Note that the Phillies have been hitting lefties nicely as of late. In their last five games, they’re hitting .289 and in the last ten games, .333 against left-handed pitching. Conversely, the Mets are hitting .177 in their last five against righties, and .207 in their last ten outings. Righty Zach Eflin will look to keep the Mets’ offense at bay tonight.

The 5-4 win for the Mets was their first game in seven attempts that they scored a minimum of 5 runs. The Mets are 29th in the majors with 3.21 runs scored per 9 innings. The Mets are hitting .222 against Eflin through 106 at-bats. Eflin goes into Sunday with a solid ERA of 3.58 and 1.12 WHIP. He has been on fire at home with a 1.80 ERA and 0.90 WHIP. The Phillies at this price in the series finale at home looks like a good bargain.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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