New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Pick – MLB June 7, 2022

The New York Mets and San Diego Padres are back at Petco Park following a big win for the Mets in the series opener. The bats were hot for the Mets, as they piled it on for 11 runs in an 11-5 win.

Blake Snell could not round into form, as he was tagged for 7 hits and 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work. Snell was a late arrival to the rotation this season after getting over an injury. He had to work hard to get out of the 1st inning after throwing 43 pitches.

The Mets didn’t cool off after a successful series finale at Dodger Stadium. They won 9-4 on Sunday afternoon, and then turned around for a 11-5 win at Petco Park.

The club from Queens has a healthy lead in the NL East going into Tuesday night. They have a record of 38-19 and a nine-game lead on the Atlanta Braves.

While the skies are clear and blue for the Mets at the moment, we’re not even at mid-June yet. Baseball is a sport where you cannot draw any conclusions too early.

The Padres were on a three-game winning streak, with three wins in four games before faltering to the Mets.

San Diego is going into the second game of this three-game series with a record of 33-22 and 2.5 games behind the Dodgers. The Padres are in much better shape than they were last year, which was a massively disappointing campaign.

If the Padres can stay within reach of the Dodgers, they will be fine after the All-Star break. It will be interesting what they’re doing at the trade deadline. There are a few directions that they can go.

It really depends on the status of Fernando Tatis Jr. His projected return date continues to be pushed back, so his status is still TBD.

This matchup looks like a good pitching matchup on paper, with Taijuan Walker and Yu Darvish scheduled to open on the mound tonight. Head below for our free Mets vs. Padres prediction on June 7, 2022.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
NY Mets +1.5 (-195) +103 Over 7.5 (-115)
San Diego Padres -1.5 (+165) -123 Under 7.5 (-105)
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Team Data NY Mets San Diego Padres
Overall Record 38-19 33-22
Away/Home Record 19-11 13-11
Batting Average .263 .229
Batting Average Away/Home .260 .218
Runs Per 9 5.35 4.24
Team ERA 3.62 3.46
Team ERA Away/Home 3.99 3.53

Mets vs. Padres Prediction:

Taijuan Walker is looking to stay hot after good work through his first eight starts. He’s gone between Arizona, Toronto, Seattle, and Queens since 2019. Walker didn’t get off to a great start in his first season with the Mets.

In 30 appearances, Walker recorded an ERA of 4.47 and a 1.18 WHIP. He had a 4.00 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in five starts with the Mariners in 2020. He’s finding the same form he had in Toronto, though.

Walker is going into tonight with an ERA of 2.88 and a 1.28 WHIP. He goes into tonight with a 2.81 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in his previous three outings.

The only concern for Walker is that he’s been pretty liberal with the number of runners finding the bases. Walker has yielded 25 hits and 8 walks in his last four starts.

The Padres have had success against Walker, with a team batting avearge of .288 and a .404 OBP in 55 at-bats.

They’ve also notched 2 home runs and 5 RBIs against Walker during that time. I don’t see Walker getting out of this game blemish-free.

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Betting Trends:

Mets

  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 9-4 overall in their previous 13 games as an underdog
  • 26-9 overall in their previous 35 games versus a right-handed starter
  • 7-1 overall in their previous eight games
  • OVER is 6-1 in their previous seven games versus a right-handed starter
  • OVER is 7-0-1 in their previous eight games as an underdog on the road

Padres

  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 14-3 overall in their previous 17 games after conceding 5 or more runs
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games after scoring 5 or more runs
  • 8-3 overall in thier previous 11 games versus the NL East
  • 13-4 overall in their previous 17 games after a loss
  • UNDER is 5-1-1 in their previous seven games as a betting favorite

  • Yu Darvish hasn’t been perfect this season, but he has been tough at Petco Park. Petco is a pitcher’s park, and Darvish is taking full advantage of the situation.

    Darvish is going into tonight with an ERA of 4.03 and a 1.09 WHIP, but has figured out how to pitch well in San Diego.

    He has an ERA of 5.82 and a 1.41 WHIP, but a 1.71 ERA and 0.68 WHIP in 27 innings at home. In 27 innings at Petco, Darvish has allowed just 13 hits and 5 earned runs.

    The Mets are hitting .204 with a .227 agianst Darvish in 60 at-bats. They were hot at the plate last night, but Darvish should be able to quiet things down a bit.

    After the Mets opened this series in impressive fashion, expect the Padres to bounce back with a better performance at Petco Park. A rubber match tomorrow night looks likely in San Diego.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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