New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Pick – MLB May 4, 2021

The New York Mets and St. Louis Cardinals are scheduled to meet for the second game of a four-game series at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals got off to a strong start with a 6-5 win over the Mets last night. Joey Lucchesi didn’t afford the Mets much of a chance, as he lasted just 2.2 innings on the bump. Lucchesi was hit for 7 hits and 6 earned runs through 2.2 innings on the hill.

That was all the runs that the Cardinals needed to beat the Mets, 6-5. The Cardinals didn’t score another run the rest of the game. Nor did the Mets, as they scored 5 runs between the 2nd and 3rd innings. Adam Wainwright went 5.2 innings with 7 hits and 5 earned runs conceded. The Cardinals have been in good form with five straight wins.

They swept the Pittsburgh Pirates in three games, and then got off to a solid start against the Mets a night ago at Busch Stadium. Thanks to their recent surge, the Cardinals have pulled into a tie with the Milwaukee Brewers for the lead in the NL Central at 17-12. The Cardinals are playing good baseball, but we’re going to continue to see teams in this division go on cold and hot runs.

The Brewers looked like the best team in the division earlier in the season, and now the Cardinals are staking their claim as the best team in the majors. This really goes for the rest of the majors as well. No one has really stuck out as the team to beat. Teams are still feeling this season out. For fans that like parity, it’s been great so far, but the contenders and pretenders tend to show their faces when the hot weather arrives in late June.

I’m confident in the Cardinals being an inconsistent team this season, but it could be enough for them to win the NL Central. I can’t see anyone getting especially hot, so the door is going to be open for the Cardinals or someone else. The Cardinals face a giant task on Tuesday night with Jacob deGrom toeing the rubber for the Mets. DeGrom is expected to get the call, with Johan Oviedo getting the green light for the Cardinals at home. Head below for our free Mets vs. Cardinals pick on May 4, 2021.

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Odds:


  • Mets -1.5 (-110)
  • Cardinals +1.5 (-110)

  • Mets -210
  • Cardinals +175

  • Over 6.5 (-110)
  • Under 6.5 (-110)


Mets vs. Cardinals Prediction:

Jacob deGrom isn’t the picture a team wants to see if they are looking to stay hot. The Cardinals will have to catch deGrom on an off day if they’re going to keep this win streak going and extend it to six games. DeGrom has been on fire this season, and making a big statement that he’s the best pitcher in baseball. The Cy Young winner is after another it seems in 2021. His stuff has been electric on the bump, as he’s posted an ERA of 0.51 and 0.57 WHIP through 35 innings.

Opponents have an OBP of just .163 against deGrom in five games. Through those five games, deGrom has allowed just 2 earned runs. He’s coming off a 1-0 loss against the Boston Red Sox in a tough way to lose after giving up just 3 hits and 1 run. In four of his five outings, deGrom has allowed 3 or fewer hits this season.

He’s been better than fine on the road, with no runs allowed after 12 innings of work as a visitor. DeGrom has also clocked a 0.75 WHIP pitching on the road. He’s in impressive standing right now, even for his standards, and should be able to have some fun at the Cardinals’ expense on Tuesday night. It’s likely going to require a monster performance from Johan Oviedo.

Oviedo is getting called up to make his second start of the season on Tuesday. He was shaky in his first start this year. Oviedo made a solid 2021 debut against the Brewers out of the bullpen, allowing just 2 hits and no runs across 4.2 innings. However, he was unable to duplicate that success as a starter against the Phillies. The Phillies got to Oviedo for 3 earned runs to chase him out of the game after 5 innings. Overall, he goes into this contest with a 2.79 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.

Oviedo notched a 5.47 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in five starts last season. He has shown improvement in his limited sample size in 2021, but it wouldn’t take much to push his numbers back to 2020 form with one or bad rough starts. I think he does well enough in this performance, but well likely isn’t sufficient against deGrom. The Mets should be able to edge out a 4-2 or 5-2 win at Busch Stadium.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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