New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays Pick – MLB May 14, 2021

The New York Mets and Tampa Bay Rays meet for three days at the Tropicana this weekend in St. Petersburg. The Rays stay home after a big 9-1 win over the New York Yankees on Thursday night. Ageless Rich Hill was on point with 3 hits and no earned runs allowed through 6.2 innings on the bump. The only run the Yankees scored was in garbage time in the top of the 9th off Hunter Strickland.

The Rays can live with that. With the win, the Rays were able to prevent a sweep at the hands of the Yankees. The Yankees won the first two games of the series by a score of 3-1 and 1-0. Leave it to 41-year-old Rich Hill to salvage the series for the Rays. They head into Friday with a record of 20-19. The defending American League champion Rays have much to do before they are regarded as a World Series contender.

They don’t carry the same talent on their roster as they did last year, especially notable in the rotation without Charlie Morton and Blake Snell. Snell played a big role in leading the Rays to the World Series last year. Naturally, he wanted more money to play baseball elsewhere after that successful shortened 60-game campaign.

The Rays brought back Chris Archer in hopes that he would reignite his career in Tampa. He was on the shelf shortly after the season started with an elbow injury, and then recently dealing with the death of his mother. In two games before leaving the rotation, Archer posted an ERA of 6.23, so nope, familiar territories in Tampa hasn’t helped, at least not yet.

The Mets head to Tampa off a three-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks, and then the Baltimore Orioles in two games. They most recently dispatched the Orioles by a score of 7-1 on Wednesday. Taijuan Walker was in good form with 4 hits and 1 earned run allowed in 7 innings of play. Matt Harvey struggled through 4.1 innings with 8 hits and 7 earned runs conceded.

The Mets will have a much bigger challenge in Tyler Glasnow at the Trop tonight. Glasnow was acquired by the Rays from the Pirates in exchange for Archer in 2018. They also picked up Austin Meadows, in what was a terrible deal for the Bucs. Archer is back in Tampa on the cheap, while the Pirates are left feeling ripped off. Glasnow has been in strong form, and looks to continue his dominance Friday night. Head below for our free Mets vs. Rays pick on May 14, 2021.

New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Betting Odds:


  • Mets +1.5 (-155)
  • Rays -1.5 (+135)

  • Mets +137
  • Rays -148

  • Over 7 (+100)
  • Under 7 (-120)


Mets vs. Rays Prediction:

The Mets will send David Peterson to the mound on Friday night in St. Petersburg. Peterson is in his second season with the Mets. He spent time in the rotation during the 60-game season and did well as a rookie. Peterson posted an ERA of 3.44 and 1.21 WHIP as a first-year pitcher. That was a positive sign for Peterson, who made the 2021 rotation thanks to his steady arm last season. He has not been pitching on the same level this season, though. Peterson goes into Friday night with an ERA of 5.54 and 1.38 WHIP.

His worst work has come on the road, where he’s gotten tattooed for a 7.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. Opponents have registered a solid .386 OBP versus Peterson in those 12.3 innings on the bump. In his most recent performance, Peterson was on the bump for only 1.2 innings. Peterson struggled against the Arizona Diamondbacks with 3 hits and 3 earned runs conceded. He hasn’t been able to make it past 6 innings yet this season.

He faces a tough challenge with Tyler Glasnow on the opposite side for the Rays. If Glasnow gets into a groove, Peterson will be forced to keep up in this one. Glasnow has been in solid form going into Friday night. He had a rough start against the Toronto Blue Jays on April 23, but besides that, Glasnow has been pitching well. Glasnow owns a 2.37 ERA and 0.89 WHIP through 49.3 innings in 2021.

In his previous three outings, Glasnow has notched a 2.89 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Glasnow has been at his best at the Trop, where he has recorded an ERA of 2.18 and 0.82 WHIP. In his last assignment at home, Glasnow was on fire with no runs allowed against the Oakland Athletics in a 2-0 win. In two of his three outings at the Trop, Glasnow hasn’t allowed a run. I’m backing Glasnow to come up big again in St. Petersburg. The Rays likely get this one to get the series started against the Mets.


Our Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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