New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Pick – MLB August 3, 2022

The New York Mets fell flat in Jacob deGrom’s 2022 debut, as they lost as monster favorites against the Washington Nationals. In his first start since last year, deGrom was sharp with 3 hits and 1 earned run allowed across 5 innings.

Despite the loss, that’s the biggest takeaway for the Mets. DeGrom was pitching like he never missed any time last night. For the grand scheme of things, the Mets have to like that more than a win. The offense just couldn’t come around against the inexperienced Cory Abbott.

As strong as deGrom was last night, Abbott did better than the multi-year Cy Young winner.

The Braves were able to gain a game on the Mets yesterday. They blasted the Philadelphia Phillies and are now 2.5 games behind the Mets in the NL East. There is a lot to be decided over the next two months.

The Mets appear to have the upper hand with Max Scherzer and deGrom, but this is the Mets, a team that has botched opportunities before.

Washington hasn’t had much to celebrate this season, but that was a good night for them at Nationals Park. The Nats advanced to 36-69, so it doesn’t put much of a dent in their overall record, though.

The Nationals were looking at a three-game losing streak before the win last night. They’ve lost four of their previous six outings.

The Mets were on a seven-game winning streak before the loss last night. Go figure that the run ended with deGrom on the mound. Head below for our free Mets vs. Nationals prediction on August 3, 2022.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
New York Mets -1.5 (-145) -250 Over 9 (-110)
Washington Nationals +1.5 (+125) +210 Under 9 (-110)
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5 Everygame
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Team Data New York Mets Washington Nationals
Overall Record 65-38 36-69
Away/Home Record 31-17 17-39
Batting Average .253 .243
Batting Average Away/Home .257 .234
Runs Per 9 4.78 3.86
Team ERA 3.55 5.12
Team ERA Away/Home 3.79 4.68

Mets vs. Nationals Prediction:

The Nationals will look to follow up that special performance from Cory Abbott with the same from Anibal Sanchez. I’m not convinced.

Sanchez looks like he’s pitching with a dead arm and must turn it around fast.

I don’t know much more patient the Nationals can be with Sanchez. They might want to look at a younger option in the minors if this continues.

At the end of his career with the Detroit Tigers in 2017, Sanchez looked done. He was able to revive his career, with the Braves, but sputtering and looking like the same done player from 2017.

Sanchez is going into this start with an ERA of 7.47 and a 1.40 WHIP. He is scheduled to step on the hill for his fourth start of the season.

The good news for Sanchez is that three games isn’t the biggest sample size.

The bad news is that he isn’t in the best form and the Mets have hit him in the past. This lineup has notched 15 RBIs against Sanchez through 105 at-bats.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 8-2 overall in their previous ten games on the road
  • 28-5 overall in their previous 33 games after their opponent concedes 2 or fewer runs
  • 17-5 overall in their previous 22 games versus a starter with a WHIP worse than 1.30
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the National League
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the Nationals


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 1-8 overall in their previous nine games on a Wednesday
  • 3-13 overall in their previous 16 games at home
  • 6-13 overall in their previous 19 games versus the National League
  • 1-5 overall in their previous six games versus the Mets
  • 2-6 overall in their previous eight games versus the Mets at home

  • Chris Bassitt will look to pick up where deGrom last night, this time with more run support. Bassitt has an ERA of 3.83 and a 1.13 WHIP in 115 innings of work.

    Bassitt has been consistent, with an ERA of 3.32 and a 1.11 WHIP in his previous three starts.

    The Nats have not had a fun time against Bassitt in his career. This roster is hitting just .149 with no home runs and 1 RBI through 49 at-bats.

    Bassitt is coming off his worst performance since early June. He allowed more than 3 earned runs for the first time since June 8 against the Marlins in a 6-4 win.

    Following a tough loss last night behind a stellar performance, expect the Mets to respond well at Nationals Park. Don’t look for the Nationals to follow up with another strong outing on the bump. I’m on the Mets to cover the runline and win by at least 2 runs.


    Mets vs. Nationals Pick
    NY METS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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