New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Pick – MLB August 5, 2020

    Rick Porcello (0-1, 13.50 ERA) vs. Max Scherzer (0-1, 2.84 ERA)

The Washington Nationals got things started this series with a 5-3 win over the New York Mets yesterday. It was their first game since a 6-4 July 30 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. They were supposed to meet with the Miami Marlins over the weekend, but that plan didn’t happen because of the coronavirus situation.

However, the Marlins made their return to the field Tuesday with a 4-0 win over the Baltimore Orioles. Given the circumstances for the Marlins and what they’ve been through, it was a nice win to forget about the coronavirus. I don’t think their team will be going to a strip club anytime soon.

The Nationals and Marlins will have to make that series up later on. It might not be important for the Marlins at that point, but wins and losses will matter to the Nationals. The Nats are the defending champions, but it almost doesn’t feel like it if you listen to the media. The media will of course skip over some teams to focus on the likes of the Yankees and Dodgers, but they’re getting zero respect in 2020.

I will say that the Nationals aren’t as talented as they were last season. Losing Anthony Rendon to the Los Angeles Angels was not fun. However, the season before they lost Bryce Harper and won a World Series. The Nationals still knew they had Rendon waiting in the wings when Bryce left to sign with Philadelphia. They didn’t have that luxury going into this 60-game season. However, the cupboard isn’t completely bare for the Nationals.

Juan Soto is a talent that is the next go-to bat for the Nationals. He had to sit out for a couple of weeks after testing positive for the coronavirus prior to the season opener against the Yankees. Soto is officially back, and now the Nats are awaiting word on Stephen Strasburg who is working himself back into the rotation from a hand injury. Strasburg being injured is nothing new. Mad Max is expected to get the starting nod for the Nationals versus Rick Porcello and the Mets. Head below for our free New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals pick for August 5, 2020.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Baseball Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Mets +1.5 (-105)
  • Nationals -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Mets (+196)
  • Nationals (-215)
Total Points:

  • Over 8.5 (-120)
  • Under 8.5 (+100)

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NY Mets vs. Washington Nationals Prediction:

Soto back in the lineup is big for the Nationals. They’ve gone from Bryce to Rendon to Soto as the main anchor in Washington. Overpaying for those two wasn’t an option, but Soto is still a National. He swatted 34 home runs with a .282 batting average in 2019. His presence will be felt now that Soto is back in the lineup. The Nationals get a crack at Rick Porcello, who has gotten off to a rocky start with the Mets. The former Cy Young winner has not been on point in his first season. He did well for the Red Sox in his career, though towards the end of his career he was regressing.

Porcello posted an ERA of 5.52 and 1.39 WHIP in his final season with the Red Sox. There is no way he was getting re-signed with those numbers. Even on a Red Sox team that needed help with their depth, they weren’t going to overreach for Porcello. Since winning the Cy Young in 2016, where Porcello recorded an ERA of 3.15, he hasn’t been south of 4.00.

Porcello has been rocked so far this season. He doesn’t look focused, and suddenly is just trying to hold on to his job. Porcello enters Wednesday with an ERA of 13.50 and 3.00 WHIP in 6 innings. He was pulled early in back-to-back performances against the Braves. The Braves hit .583 and then .400 against Porcello in the next game. Washington isn’t as dangerous offensively as they were before, though the current Nats are hitting .286 with a .317 OBP versus Porcello in 123 at-bats.

Conversely, Scherzer has been in much better shape against the Mets, as he’s held them to a .221 batting average and .267 OBP in 146 at-bats. Michael Conforto has done serious damage against Scherzer, though, with a .323 average and 4 home runs in 31 at-bats. Having said that, Scherzer won’t have to be perfect with Porcello on the opposite side. I think the Nationals coast over the Mets for a win by 2 or more runs at home.

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The Bet
WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.