New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Pick – MLB July 23, 2022

The New York Yankees held on for a 7-6 win at Camden Yards in the series opener last night. After taking a 7-3 lead, the Yankees got careless in the bottom of the 7th and gave up 3 runs. It was a close finish, but the bullpen closed off the Orioles for the rest of the game.

Aldoris Chapman was well off the mark, as he was tagged for 3 earned runs and just 1 out recorded. Chapman and starter Jameson Taillon are the only Yankees that had problems. Taillon lasted just 2.2 innings with 4 hits and 2 earned runs conceded.

It was all Chapman responsible for giving up the comfortable lead. The rest of the bullpen handled themselves well, with just 1 earned run allowed after Taillon exited.

With the victory, the Yankees are up to 65-30 and a 12-game lead on the Tampa Bay Rays. The AL East is all Yankees, but you can’t write them in as the divisional winners just yet. There is time, albeit, it would make for one epic collapse and finger-pointing in the Bronx.

The Orioles went on a ten-game winning streak before the All-Star break.

It was an unlikely winning streak, as the Orioles put everything together to get above .500. They lost a 5-4 final to the Rays to end the skid, but finished off the first half with a 6-4 win to beat the Rays in two of three games.

Expect a bit of regression for the Orioles post-All-Star break. This is one team that didn’t want to see time off. They had everything firing on all cylinders and didn’t want the chance to cool off on a break.

The Yankees will send ace Gerritt Colt to the bump at Camden Yards for this start. Jordan Lyles of the Orioles will go for the home team in Baltimore.

Head below for our free Yankees vs. Orioles prediction on July 23, 2022.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Live Betting Odds:

MLB Odds Courtesy of Bovada:
Team Spread Moneyline Total
New York Yankees -1.5 (-135) -240 9 (-120)
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (+115) +195 9 (+100)
Team Data New York Yankees Baltimore Orioles
Overall Record 65-30 46-47
Away/Home Record 28-18 25-18
Batting Average .245 .233
Batting Average Away/Home .249 .232
Runs Per 9 5.37 4.29
Team ERA 3.16 3.97
Team ERA Away/Home 3.62 3.41

Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction:

Gerritt Cole is having a fine campaign in 2022. Do I want to say a great season? Not for the money Cole is making. He’s making Cy Young money, so that’s where I’d like to see the veteran.

Cole is going into this start with an ERA of 3.02 and a 0.98 WHIP.

He carries an ERA of 3.15 and a 0.85 WHIP in his previous three starts entering tonight. Through his last 14 innings on the bump, Cole allowed 2 earned runs.

Cole has been consistently good, with 2 or fewer earned runs allowed in six of his previous seven outings. He’s handled the Orioles pretty well in his career.

The O’s are hitting .196 with 2 home runs allowed in 127 at-bats versus Cole. He should have control of this matchup at Camden Yards.

The O’s are 25th in the major leagues with a batting average of .233.

The Yankees have the second-best pitching staff in the majors with 3.3 runs allowed per 9 innings. They have held opponents to an impressive .216 batting average. We didn’t see it last night from Aldoris Chapman, though.

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 4-6
  • 9-2 overall in their previous 11 games versus the Orioles
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games at Baltimore
  • 12-5 overall in their previous 17 games versus the AL East
  • 42-15 overall in their previous 57 games after a win
  • OVER is 7-1 in their previous eight games on the road


  • Record (Last 10): 8-2
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games versus the Yankees at home
  • 32-76 overall in their previous 108 games versus the AL East
  • 15-63 overall in their previous 78 games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 60%
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games on a Saturday
  • OVER is 4-0-1 in their previous five games

  • Jordan Lyles is expected to get the nod for the Orioles. He’s in his usual form with an ERA of 4.76 and a 1.42 WHIP this season.

    Across his last three starts, Lyles owns a 5.17 ERA and 1.47 WHIP on the hill.

    He’s been strong at home, though, with a 2.72 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Will it help versus a Yankee team that has frustrated him in the past?

    Lyles has yielded 6 home runs and 24 RBIs to the Yanks in 157 at-bats. Josh Donaldson is hitting 7-for-13 at a .538 clip, while Giancarlo Staton has a .389 batting average and 5 RBIs. Anthony Rizzo has tagged Lyles for a .286 average with 2 home runs and 11 RBIs.

    The Yankees are second in the majors with a bullpen ERA of 2.96 and a 1.12 WHIP. We didn’t see it last night with Chapman nearly giving up the game, but they’re generally reliable.

    After a hot run to end the first half, expect the O’s to regress somewhat. They likely don’t collapse, but back down to earth in a sense. With Cole on the bump, look for the Yankees to cover the runline at Camden Yards.


    Yankees vs. Orioles Pick
    NY YANKEES -1.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.