New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Pick – July 9

Another crushing Red Sox loss continued their prolonged slump Friday evening, as Boston fell once again to the high-flying, first-place New York Yankees. Connor Seabold struggled to make an impact, while New York’s Nestor Cortes was steady enough to get it done for the team in pinstripes.

Though Boston battled hard to get back into the AL East race and contend for the wild-card, a tough stretch of late has them once again sliding down the standings. At home at Fenway Park, Boston needs to find a way to get back in the win column against their rivals from the Bronx.

With New York having taken two of the first four games of this crucial series, expect a motivated BoSox lineup to take to the field Saturday evening. It’ll be an intriguing pitching matchup in this one, as veteran thrower Jordan Montgomery goes for New York, with youngster Kutter Crawford countering for the BoSox. Crawford has received exemplary results over the past month, and his pitching repertoire could really wear down these hot Yankees’ bats.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Yankees: Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.19 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 72 strikeouts); Red Sox: Kutter Crawford (2-2, 5.04 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 32 strikeouts)

The young thrower will have his work cut out for him though, especially against an array of hot Yankees’ hitters. The Bronx Bombers are living up to the game so far in 2022, entering Saturday evening with 439 runs scored. Aaron Judge leads the way with 30 homers, and is the early favorite for the AL MVP.

With baseball’s best rivals battling for playoff positioning into the second-half, these matchups in early July already are giving us October vibes. After losing the first two contests, the BoSox need to find a way to get back on track, and rookie Kutter Crawford will firmly have the spotlight on him against a potent New York lineup. For added insight, the latest news, trends, and analysis, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our breakdown and betting prediction for this thrilling Boston/New York series. Enjoy the game, folks!

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

  • New York Yankees -1.5 (+100)
  • Boston Red Sox +1.5 (-120)
  • New York Yankees (-165)
  • Boston Red Sox (+145)
  • Over 9.5 (-110)
  • Under 9.5 (-110)
Overall Record 61-23 45-39
Over/Under/Push 37-44-3 34-41-9
Home/Away Record 27-14 21-20
Runs Per Game 5.2 4.7
Runs Allowed Per Game 3.0 4.0
Team Batting Average .242 .260
Bullpen ERA 2.63 3.66

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction:

Losers of four straight, the Boston Red Sox are in desperate need of a response come Saturday evening at the historic Fenway Park It’s one thing to endure a losing streak, but to do so against your most-hated rival, on your home field, surely has to sting for Alex Cora’s team.

And though Boston might sense some optimism with Kutter Crawford going to the mound, the Yankees will prove to be stiffer competition compared to his previous starts. Crawford has been better of late, featuring some power pitches and good variety – but the Yankees’ power can and will overwhelm the Boston staff. Crawford has still allowed 14 earned runs across 25 innings, and his control won’t give him much of a shot against a Yankees’ lineup filled with keen eyes at the plate. Crawford enters walking just over four batters per 9 innings, which against the power-hitting Yanks, seems like a recipe for disaster.

For New York, expect consistency from left-hander Jordan Montgomery. He’s again putting up a quietly solid season in a loaded Yankees’ rotation, and enters Boston on Saturday evening with a 3-2 record, and 3.19 ERA. He possesses excellent control and has steadily delivered quality outings for Aaron Boone’s club. Montgomery gets ahead of hitters early in the count, as seen by his 39% miss rate on his first pitches. This allows Montgomery to toy with opposing batters later in the counts, and against a free-swinging Boston lineup, Montgomery should be able to frustrate this offense once again.


While Kutter Crawford has been putting together some strong outings over the past fortnight, expect that to come to a halt on Saturday night. These Yankees’ bats are showing no sign of slowing down, and the versatility of their offense should prove problematic on a wild-thrower like Crawford. New York hits 1.70 home runs per game, they steal bases at a top-ten rate, and are patient and methodical at the plate. Look for the Bronx Bombers to live up to the game against rookie, Kutter Crawford.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Trends To Know:

  • Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Yankees are 46-12 in their last 58 games on grass.
  • Yankees are 41-12 in their last 53 games following a win.
  • Yankees are 40-12 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
  • Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
  • Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 home games.
  • Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Yankees are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston.
  • Yankees are 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

As seen by the recent trends, the Yankees have dominated the head-to-head matchup vs. Boston in recent years.  They enter with the healthier and hotter offense, an elite and rested bullpen, and should hold a decisive pitching matchup with Jordan Montgomery going against the erratic and unpredictable Kutter Crawford.  At a generous favorite price in Fenway Park, the Yankees will continue to eye the sweep in what promises to be another intense Saturday night showdown between the forever rivals.  Back the Yanks to continue their torrid pace.

Our Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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