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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox MLB Pick – April 11th

We picked up the win last night when we backed Chris Sale and the red-hot Boston Red Sox against the New York Yankees. I didn’t like betting against Luis Severino, that guy has nasty stuff, but I loved getting a pitcher as good as Chris Sale at such a reasonable number. Not to mention the fact that the Red Sox are the hottest team in the league and have a lineup that is absolutely mashing right now. Well, we nailed this pick. Sale was his normal dominant self, he threw six innings and gave up just one run and struck out eight. But the story of this one was these Boston bats.

Boston exploded for fourteen runs, five of which came off Severino in a 14-1 blow out victory. Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi, Hanley Ramirez, and J.D. Martinez all had multiple RBIs, and this game got out of hand early. I am not sure what it is going to take to slow this Red Sox team down, they are cruising right now. For today’s pick, I will stay right here in Beantown and break down game two of this series against the Yankees.

The New York Yankees are in Boston for game two of a three-game series with the Red Sox. The Red Sox took a 1-0 series lead last night in a blowout 14-1 win. The Yankees will try and get back on track tonight as they send Masahiro Tanaka (1-1 2.92 ERA) to the mound to square off against the Red Sox’s David Price (1-0 0.00 ERA). The Red Sox are small -114 home favorites. The game total over-under is set at eight runs. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 PM PST from Fenway Park.

Coming into this season all the hype in the American League East Division surrounded the Yankees and their newly acquired slugger Giancarlo Stanton. Just two weeks later all that talk has shifted to the Boston Red Sox as they have now won nine straight games. New York will be better than they have shown in this 5-6 start, but Stanton is hitting sub .200, and the rest of this lineup has yet to start hitting.

Boston isn’t having any trouble at all at the plate as they are top five in the majors in batting average, on-base percentage, and runs scored. And that is with their big off-season addition, J.D. Martinez, struggling out of the gate. Hopefully, for Boston fans, last night’s game was a sign of things to come for Martinez as he blasted his first home run in Red Sox uniform.

The Yankees will look to slow the Red Sox down tonight with starter Masahiro Tanaka. Tanaka has had a bit of an up and down career in the Bronx. When he first arrived in New York, he looked close to unhittable. He won thirteen games and had an ERA of just 2.77 in his rookie year. But the numbers for Tanaka have regressed ever since, and last year he was downright bad at times. Tanaka finished 2017 with a 13-12 record and an ERA of 4.74. That is nowhere near the production the Yankees had hoped for when they brought him over from Japan.

This season Tanaka has been pretty good. He is 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA. He has fifteen strikeouts in just twelve and a third innings. He has yet to walk a batter, which is a great sign as control issues plagued him last season. Tanaka will need to be on his game tonight if he wants to stare down former Cy Young Award winner David Price.

Coming into this season, I expected a big year from David Price. He was fully healthy, finally, and I knew that he wasn’t nearly as bad as people were making him out to be last year. He was clearly injured and even then, was more than serviceable. But I guess when you sign the biggest contract of all-time for a starting pitcher, and you play in a huge baseball market like Boston, you get held to a whole other level of scrutiny.

Price has not disappointed so far this season. Price is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00! He has thrown fourteen shutout innings to start the season. This hot start must be taken with a small grain of salt as Price has pitched against the horrifically bad Tampa Bay Rays in both starts, but he is pitching well right now, and I am not sure it would have mattered who he was facing.

I was shocked to see this as basically an even money game. Did people forget how bad Tanaka looked last season? Did they miss yesterdays 14 run explosion that exposed what might be a lot weaker than anybody expected Yankee bullpen? Have they not noticed David Price looks like he is healthy once again and is pitching like a Cy Young candidate? How about the fact that Boston is at home and has won nine straight games?

Whatever the case may be for keeping this number a tight one, I am going to say thank you and back the Red Sox again tonight. I have been riding Boston a lot this season, and until they stop winning every game, I will keep doing so. They are the better team right now by a wide margin, and I feel we are getting way the best of the starting pitching matchup tonight. Give me the Boston Red Sox as small home favorites at -114.

The Bet: Boston Red Sox -114

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