New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick – September 18, 2020

Probable Starters:

    Jordan Montgomery (2-2, 4.76 ERA) vs. Martin Perez (3-4, 4.33 ERA)

It was another offensive show for the New York Yankees on Thursday night against the Toronto Blue Jays. They didn’t score more than 10 runs this time, which is their lowest total between the three games, but swatted six home runs, including five in one inning.

I thought it was a misprint, but the Yankees sent five balls over the fence, with back-to-back-back home runs in the 4th inning. And Aaron Judge was scratched from the lineup as well, so that wasn’t the Yankees at full strength.

They needed all of those runs to cash the runline. With a 10-3 lead going into the final frame, the Yankees held on for a 10-7 win. After a single to make it a 10-5 game, the Blue Jays had the tying run at the plate, so it was getting a bit sweaty for Yankees’ backers.

That 7-run barrage in the 4th inning was enough for the Yankees and their supporters on the runline. The Yankees quieted down thereafter with just one more run, but the damage was already done.

In three games versus the Blue Jays, the Yankees totaled 43 runs against their pitching staff. The Blue Jays went with a piggyback game on Thursday night. Chase Anderson entered the game after Julian Mayweather opened the game and that didn’t help. Anderson was pummeled for 8 hits and 7 earned runs through 2.2 innings of work.

Other than Ryu, the Blue Jays have a major problem within their pitching staff. The Yankees are in Boston for a three-game series at Fenway Park. They head into Boston with a record of 29-21 and are attempting to reel in the Rays before the end of next weekend. The Red Sox are behind the Rays by 3.5 games going into tonight. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are sinking in the basement with a record of 19-32.

They’re 14 games behind in the division and reaching the postseason is not going to happen. Martin Perez will be tasked with trying to cool down the Yankees’ bats on Friday night. Jordan Montgomery will counter for the Yankees at Fenway. Head below for our free New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox pick for September 18, 2020.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Yankees -1.5 (-130)
  • Red Sox +1.5 (+110)
Moneyline:

  • Yankees (-180)
  • Red Sox (+166)
Total:

  • Over 10.5 (-110)
  • Under 10.5 (-110)

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NY Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction:

Tough chore for Martin Perez on Friday night, but it would be a nice confidence booster for him if he can figure out the Yankees’ riddle. Judge was scratched on Thursday, but don’t worry, it wasn’t because he’s going back on the IL. He’s expected to be back in the lineup against the Red Sox in Boston.

With the offensive barrage recently, the Yankees are back up to 5.22 runs scored per game on the season. Considering the issues they’ve had, 6th in the major leagues is pretty good. The Yankees are obviously a complete team when they’re healthy.

Perez has struggled against the Yankees in previous matchups. They’re hitting .333 with a .520 OBP in 58 at-bats against Perez. During those 58 at-bats, the Yankees have recorded 6 home runs and 17 RBI. With confidence oozing at the plate for the Yankees, this should make for another difficult assignment for the lefty on Friday night.

Perez has been worse at Fenway Park than he has on the road thi season. He has posted an ERA of 5.48 with 20 hits and 14 runs conceded through 21.1 innings. The key for the Red Sox is going to be getting to Jordan Montgomery as early as possible.

Montgomery owns an ERA of 4.76 and 1.29 WHIP through 34 innings. He’s been fine enough, but I think the Yankees were expecting a breakout season for Montgomery. However, Montgomery has been nothing more than a low-end option in the rotation.

His effort on the road has been particularly troublesome. Montgomery has posted an ERA of 8.59 and .353 OBA as a visitor. Teams have recorded 12 hits and 7 earned runs versus Montgomery in 7.1 innings. With how hot the Yankees’ offense is right now, the Red Sox may need another slow night from Montgomery on the road. In a game that should be high-scoring, the OVER is an option at Fenway.

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The Bet
OVER 10.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.