New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Pick – MLB June 30, 2022

The Yankees and Astros clash in a heavyweight matchup at Minute Maid Park for one night only. This is a rare one-game series because of the short lockdown at the beginning of the season.

They missed a game to open the season, so this is that matchup in Houston. Following tonight, the Yankees will move on for a three-game series against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field this weekend. Meanwhile, the Astros will welcome the Angels for three days.

The Yankees are coming off a sweep of the Oakland Athletics with three wins in three days. That was not a surprise, as the Athletics were a punching bad for the Yankees in that one.

In their latest win on Wednesday, the Yankees received a decent performance from Jameson Taillon. Taillon wasn’t in perfect shape, but he went 5 innings with 3 earned runs allowed to give the offense a chance.

The Yankees are going into Texas with a record of 56-20 and a 13-game lead on the Boston Red Sox. They are feeling good going into this mega one-day showdown at Minute Maid Park. There’s still a long distance to go in the regular season, but everything is gold for the Yanks right now.

Houston is in good form following a sweep of the Mets at Citi Field.

That’s not all from the Astros in New York. They opened their trip to New York with two of three games at Yankee Stadium. The ‘Stros won a 3-1 and 3-1 final after a 7-6 loss in the series opener.

The Astros have an 11-game lead over the Texas Rangers with a record of 47-27. There is no competition in the AL West, as the Rangers are second and two games under .500.

Luis Severino and Luis Garcia appear to be the starting pitchers for this contest at Minute Maid Park. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Astros prediction on June 30, 2022.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
New York Yankees -1.5 (+140) -123 Over 8 (-110)
Houston Astros +1.5 (+103) -190 Under 8 (-110)
Team Data New York Yankees Houston Astros
Overall Record 56-20 47-27
Away/Home Record 22-11 20-11
Batting Average .236 .237
Batting Average Away/Home .242 .242
Runs Per 9 5.18 4.44
Team ERA 2.93 2.98
Team ERA Away/Home 3.34 2.67

Yankees vs. Astros Prediction:

Luis Severino appeared in only four games last season. He pitched well with an ERA of 0.00 and a 0.50 WHIP after making his long-awaited return to the mound.

Serverino had only three starts in 2019 before having to leave.

His rehab process was long and grueling, with Severino missing all of the 2020 Covid-19 season. The wait was worth it for the Yankees, as Severino immediately started dealing.

The Yankees were cautious with Severino and only gave up 6 innings of work, but everything worked out well. The flamethrowing righty has his season in good order entering Texas.

Severino is looking to improve on a solid ERA of 3.38 and a 1.07 WHIP versus the Astros. He went on a nice stretch, with 1 or no earned runs allowed from May 16 to June 10.

Severino is coming off a fine outing, with 3 earned runs allowed in a 3-1 loss to the Astros.

The Yankees have a bullpen to carry this season. The same goes for the Astros, so it could turn into another matchup between these two clubs that comes down to relievers.

New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 6-0 overall in their previous six games on a Thursday
  • 14-2 overall in their previous 16 games on the road versus a right-handed starter
  • UNDER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games versus the AL West
  • UNDER is 4-1-1 in their previous six games
  • UNDER is 12-4-1 in their previous 17 games after scoring 5 or more runs


  • Record (Last 10): 5-5
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a winning percentage better than 60%
  • 5-0 overall in their previous five games after scoring 2 or fewer runs
  • UNDER is 8-1 in their previous nine games on a Thursday
  • UNDER is 6-2-1 in their previous nine games versus the AL East
  • UNDER is 41-19-3 in their previous 63 games

  • The Yankees are first in the majors as a pitching staff with 3.05 runs allowed per 9 innings. They’ve allowed opponents to hit just .213, which is also good for the best in the majors.

    The Bronx Bombers’ bullpen is leading the majors with a 2.73 ERA and 1.11 WHIP.

    It wouldn’t take much for the Astros to take those honors over, though. The Astros are second, with a bullpen ERA of 2.77 and a 1.15 WHIP.

    Luis Garcia has been in pretty decent form with an ERA of 3.68 and a 1.07 WHIP through 71 innings. He has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in seven of his last ten starts, and just one with more than 3 earned runs.

    Severino and Garcia don’t have to be outstanding for this one to be a low-scoring game. The bullpens can carry the load if they are at least decent tonight. This is what happened in Severino’s last start versus the Astros, a 3-1 final.

    The sharps hammered 8.5 runs on the total down to 8 when the odds were posted. I think the idea here is that this one will be a playoff atmosphere at Minute Maid Park. Tonight looks like an UNDER game in Houston, with a 4-2 or 4-3 final.


    Yankees vs. Astros Pick
    UNDER 8
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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