New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick – MLB May 2, 2022

The New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays are scheduled to meet for three days at the Rogers Centre this week. This is a marquee matchup between two leading contenders in the AL East.

Either the Yankees or Blue Jays winning the division looks likely. The Yankees currently have a 1.5-game advantage on the Jays going into Monday. They are on a roll going into Toronto, as the Yanks are on a nine-game losing streak.

The Yankees haven’t lost since a 3-0 final to the Detroit Tigers on April 21. They’re in great form and look like a serious threat in the American League.

In their most recent win, the Yankees completed a sweep against the Kansas City Royals with a 6-4 victory. They also had a 12-2 and 3-0 win before closing out with another win at Kauffman Stadium.

With a pitching staff as dangerous as the Yankees, they’re always going to be a threat in the postseason. The offense is capable of getting bogged down at times, though, so inconsistent bats at the wrong time could again be their downfall.

The Bue Jays shouldn’t have consistency problems with their loaded lineup. They are hot going into today as well. The Jays are coming off back-to-back wins against the Houston Astros to take two of three games.

Kevin Gausman spun a solid game on Sunday, as he went 7 innings to limit the Astros to 2 runs in a 3-2 win. Former Dodger, Ross Stripling, is scheduled to get the nod tonight at the Rogers Centre.

The Yankees are expected to send Jordan Montgomery to the bump for this contest in Toronto. Montgomery isn’t on an ace level, but a nice middle-of-the-rotation type. Head below for our free Yankees vs. Blue Jays prediction on May 2, 2022.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Live Betting Odds:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:
Teams Spread Moneyline Total
NY Yankees -1.5 (+130) -120 Over 8.5 (-115)
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-150) +100 Under 8.5 (-105)
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Team Data NY Yankees Toronto Blue Jays
Overall Record 16-6 15-8
Away/Home Record 6-3 9-4
Batting Average .245 .240
Batting Average Away/Home .221 .251
Runs Per 9 4.74 4.54
Team ERA 4.98 4.13
Team ERA Away/Home 3.95 4.84

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Prediction:

Ross Stripling was a nice acquisition for the Blue Jays in the offseason. He’s not a blockbuster pitcher, but a steady arm to round out a decent rotation in Toronto. Now, if only Hyun-jin Ryu gets his act together.

Stripling has been adequate through four starts with his new team. He owns a 3.60 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. His best work has come at the Rogers Centre, as a shaky start at Houston skewed his numbers.

After conceding 5 hits and 3 earned runs in 4 innings at Minute Maid Park, Stripling came back to the Rogers Centre with 1 earned run against the Red Sox. He has an ERA of 2.45 and a 1.00 WHIP across 11 innings of work.

The Yankees have not liked seeing Stripling. This lineup is hitting .144 with a .219 OBP in 74 at-bats versus the former Dodger.

It’s not a bad situation for Stripling on a Blue Jays team with plenty of pop in their offense. He should receive good run support this season.

Toronto are slow starters this season with 4.08 runs per 9 innings for 17th in the majors, but hitting an acceptable .248 in the top-10 and the second-best team with 1.49 home runs per game.

Expect the runs to flow for the Blue Jays as we go forward into this campaign. They’ve had some success against Jordan Montgomery, with 3 home runs and 9 RBIs in 50 at-bats.

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends:


  • Record (Last 10): 9-1
  • 5-11 overall in their previous 16 games versus a right-handed starter
  • 25-10 overall in their previous 35 games
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the AL East
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games on the road
  • UNDER is 6-2 in their previous eight games on the road

Blue Jays

  • Record (Last 10): 7-3
  • 8-1 overall in their previous nine games versus a left-handed starter
  • 5-1 overall in their previous six games versus the AL East
  • 6-2 overall in their previous eight games in the first game of a series
  • 6-1 overall in their previous seven games on a Monday
  • 5-2 overall in their previous seven games after conceding 2 or fewer runs

After three starts, Montgomery is in good form with an ERA of 2.70 and a 0.95 WHIP. He’s coming off a strong performance on April 21 against the Tigers, with 3 hits and 1 earned run.

His three opponents so far in 2022 were the Red Sox, Orioles, and Tigers. They are 24th, 26th, and 27th, so not the biggest test.

This trip to Toronto will be the toughest start that Montgomery has experienced thus far this season. He hasn’t cared too much for playing the Blue Jays in the past.

The Blue Jays have been scoring at home, with an average of 4.98 runs per 9 innings. Conversely, the Yankees have tallied 3.95 runs per 9 on the road this season. The Yanks are hitting .221 compared to .251 for the Jays.

At even money in Toronto, the Blue Jays look like a pretty solid value to win at the Rogers Centre. I will have a play on the Blue Jays for a unit over the Yankees.


Yankees vs. Blue Jays Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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