Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Pick – July 4

The Toronto Blue Jays will look to shake off a dismal showing yesterday by opening up a new series against the lowly Oakland Athletics. The Jays lost the final three games of their crucial Tampa Bay series, and it’s all starting to unravel in Toronto. For all of their supposed hitting, the bats went cold with runners in scoring position, and outside of Alek Manoah, their pitching is among the worst in baseball right now. With key injuries in both the rotation and bullpen, the Jays are badly in need of some sort of immediate trade, or likely risk falling out of the playoff picture altogether.

Fortunately for Toronto, it is their ace Alek Manoah on the mount tonight in Oakland, as the big right-hander looks to right the ship for the fading Jays. Manoah is firmly in the hunt for the AL Cy Young conversation, and though he wasn’t that great last time out vs. Boston, Manoah should be able to have his way with a pedestrian Athletics lineup. For Toronto however, it’s what happens after he leaves the game that has recently seemed to matter most. This bullpen is capable of blowing any lead.

PITCHING PROBABLES: Blue Jays: Alek Manoah (9-2, 2.09 ERA, .96 WHIP, 85 strikeouts); Athletics: Cole Irvin (2-6, 3.58 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 52 strikeouts)

The A’s will counter with Cole Irvin, who despite a poor record, has actually put up some pretty impressive numbers of late. He holds a 1.2 WHIP, and though he was lit up in his last outing against a powerful Yankees lineup, Irvin has been stellar at home. He’s 1-1 in Oakland, with a 1.57 ERA and .220 OBA across six starts, and if the Jay’s aren’t dialled in at the dish, Irvin has the profile of a pitcher that can and will frustrate them.

The Jays need wins, but a quick turnaround out to the west coast won’t make for an easy transition. Irvin’s repertoire is one that can frustrate Toronto’s powerful right-handed heavy lineup. Can the A’s bring more misery to Toronto and relish the role of spoiler? Or will the visiting Blue Jays regain their form out west? For more answers, as well as the latest trends, lineup news, and betting analysis, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our winning wager on the Jays vs. A’s on the fourth of July. Enjoy!

Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays Live Odds & Betting History

Betting odds provided by BOVADA

  • Oakland Athletics +1.5 (+110)
  • Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-130)
  • Oakland Athletics (+215)
  • Toronto Blue Jays (-235)
  • Over 7.5 (-110)
  • Under 7.5 (-110)
Overall Record 26-54 44-35
Over/Under/Push 34-40-6 45-34-1
Home/Away Record 8-29 19-18
Runs Per Game 3.2 4.8
Runs Allowed Per Game 4.6 4.4
Team Batting Average .213 .258
Bullpen ERA 4.32 4.44

Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction:

With Toronto choking away a pivotal series sweep vs. both Tampa Bay and Boston over the last week, they have to be entering Oakland thinking about a potential sweep. The A’s have been miserable of late, and especially bad on their own homefield.

That said, Cole Irvin has not been bad at home, and has given Oakland a chance to win every time he’s taken the mound at home. With Frankie Montas now out and likely headed to the IL, it’s likely Irvin will need to step up as the ace of this staff, and look for him to respond in a big way on Monday night.

The southpaw pitcher can be tough on righties, and his off-speed and breaking pitches profile to be tough to barrel for these Toronto bats. Irvin dominated this same Jays team last year in this same stadium, to the tune of allowing just one run over eight dominant innings. Irvin also registered nine strikeouts, in a convincing 4-1 victory. More of the same can and should be expected for Monday evening.


The Jays will no doubt be looking to get back on track out in Oakland, but with banged-up and ineffective pitching, it seems unlikely. Alek Manoah will be great for six innings or so, but behind him there really isn’t much help. Toronto’s bullpen has been dismal over the past few weeks, and can be directly blamed for the majority of their losses. Though they’re without key pieces in Nate Pearson, Yimi Garcia, and Julian Merryweather – this unit has struggled away from the Rogers Centre, and were soundly dominated vs. the Rays. .

Athletics vs. Blue Jays Trends To Know:

  • Blue Jays are 0-4 in their last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
  • Blue Jays are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
  • Blue Jays are 4-9 in their last 13 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 road games

The Jays have not responded well to adversity at all this year.  Once the World Series faves, Toronto’s pitching has gone south in a hurry, leaving the team without any viable options beyond Manoah.  While the youngster has been great, recent starts indicate he can be beat, and he can be hit.  Expect the pesky A’s to take advantage of a road weary Jays squad, and make this a tight ball-game throughout.

Our Pick
Oakland A’s +1.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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