Orioles vs. Blue Jays MLB Pick – July 5th

The Toronto Blue Jays were feeling great last night and seemed to be on a good path two take two of three games against the Boston Red Sox. The Blue Jays were in control with a 6-1 lead until a disaster happened in the 6th inning. Boston tacked on 6 runs to take a 7-6 lead in an instant. Just like that, the Blue Jays were looking at a deficit. Things can change in a hurry in a Major League Baseball game.

Much of it is due to how bad some bullpens are, but starter, Thomas Pannone, was responsible for getting into a jam. He was flying through the Red Sox lineup, as he went four straight innings without allowing an inning. Pannone was tagged for a run in the 1st inning and then settled in. Something happened in the 6th, though. In any case, it was quite the effort by the Blue Jays to beat the Red Sox on Wednesday and then go toe-to-toe with them the next night.

This is a kind of series that the Red Sox can’t afford to lose at this point. It may be only July 5th, but it’s almost time to apply that killer instinct and not go through the motions. Catching the Yankees looks like a near impossible task at this point and there is a lot of company when it comes to the wildcard.

Nothing is a guarantee for them by a long shot. The Blue Jays are well out of everything and are not to be taken serious. However, what they do at the trade deadline could be interesting. Where Marcus Stroman is going is a talking point around the majors and it continues to heat up.

Stroman is currently nursing a minor injury, but it likely isn’t going to alter any trade. Contenders are going to want him at 100% for September and October, which appears not to be a problem. Aaron Sanchez has been a problem for the Jays this season.

He was supposed to be involved in a trade deal as well, but the market for Sanchez has evaporated with his poor play. Sanchez will look to turn it around at Rogers Centre tonight. Dylan Bundy will counter for the Baltimore Orioles in this battle of the bottom of the American League. Head below for our free Orioles vs. Blue Jays pick.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays -122/Orioles +102
  • O/U: 10

Pitching Matchup:

  • Dylan Bundy (3-10, 4.91 ERA)
  • Aaron Sanchez (3-11, 6.31 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Jays tied last night up in the 8th and quickly gave it right back in the 9th. Boston were ultimately able to hang on for an 8-7 win. It’s a meaningless loss for the Blue Jays, but a big win for the Red Sox, who are looking for a strong finish in the first-half. The Orioles had the day off on Thursday following a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays.

They took one of three games, with a 9-6 win in the series finale. Chris Davis, yeah, that guy, hit his first home run in 86 at-bats. The Orioles to a sad 25-61 on the season with the win. Toronto aren’t much better in 4th ahead of the O’s. They’re 33-55 which is a predictable outcome at this point given their roster.

Sanchez has been a disaster this season, as he looks to improve on an ERA of 6.31. The Jays were hoping to ship him out to a team looking for depth, but his value has dried up in 2019. It isn’t like he has been showing any signs of improvement, either. Sanchez will go into Friday with an ERA of 6.31 and 1.77 WHIP in 87 innings.

He’s been embarrassed lately, as he has allowed at least 6 runs in four straight games. The last time Sanchez yielded less than 5 runs was on June 2nd. That’s six starts ago for him. In his last three outings, Sanchez has posted a 14.25 ERA, 2.83 WHIP, and .493 OBA. Nearly half of hitters he faced reached base. There isn’t much the Blue Jays can market with numbers like that.

While the Orioles have been a horrible group this season, they’ve done fine against Sanchez in his career. They are hitting .303 with a .430 OBP in 76 at-bats. Throwing strikes and picking his spots has been an issue for him this season and against the O’s in his career. Chris Davis, believe it or not, has done a lot of damage against Sanchez.

He has swatted 4 home runs with a .333 batting average and .556 OBP in 24 at-bats. Dylan Bundy looks like an ace compared to Sanchez this season, with his ERA of 4.91 and 1.34 WHIP. In his previous three outings, Bundy has posted a 6.91 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, and .400 OBA. Note that in his last 9.1 innings pitched, he’s gotten exploited for 9 earned runs, which includes 4 home runs. The bullpens likely aren’t going to offer much resistance, either. The O’s bullpen has a 6.12 ERA, while the Jays an ERA of 4.33. This has the makes of a high-scoring contest in Toronto.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.