The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays meet on Tuesday night for what will be the first game of a three-game series in Toronto at the Rogers Centre. Both teams had the day off yesterday, with wins the last time they stepped out on Sunday. The Orioles and the Blue Jays are in similar positions up there in the American League, as they sit at the bottom of the division. The Red Sox and Yankees lead the way, while the Rays, Orioles, and Blue Jays all trail behind. This isn’t a far-reaching deficit, though. The Jays are last but are just 5.5 games back of 1st. A hot run for themselves, and a dry spell for the rest of the division and they’re right there.
As a comparison, the Giants are last in the NL West and are 24.5 games back. In the AL West, the A’s are 17.5 games back of the Athletics, and in the NL East the Phillies are 20.5 back. In other words, the division is up for grabs in the AL East, and it’s the one division which should have an interesting finish. Elsewhere, there are one or two teams, and then everybody else. The Jays have won just one of their last five games and two of their last six. Their last win coming against the Royals on Sunday.
For the Orioles, it’s been a little bit of this and a little bit of that, same goes for the Blue Jays. The pitching has largely been amiss, and their offenses haven’t been blowing up on the scoreboard. When the pitching is off it’s a necessity, but they’re running slightly hot and cold in 2017. The Jays were fortunate to get a much needed quality start out of Francisco Liriano against the Royals. Joe Biagini needs a hot start as well tonight, as he’s slid back considerably of late. He takes on Kevin Gausman of the O’s, who has been skidding off the rails as well. Find our free Orioles vs. Blue Jays pick below.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Pick
Kevin Gausman (3-7, 6.47 ERA) vs. Joe Biagini (2-6, 4.45 ERA)
Gausman took a win over the Blue Jays in their last meeting in May, but it was a high scoring 7-5 win. Gausman actually allowed 10 hits in just 6 innings of work, so the offense came out to play for him. Lately, though, it doesn’t matter if he’s gotten run support because he’s getting bombed. In his last three starts, Gausman posted a 9.20 ERA and 2.32 WHIP.
Sometimes I speak of guys who should not be in the majors, but are here due to a shortage of pitching in the minors. Gausman is a case where he should probably be down in the minors fixing his stuff, but the Orioles are stuck with what they have. Overall, he holds a 6.47 ERA and 1.88 WHIP. Even worse, Gausman has a 1-4 record and 9.00 ERA on the road.
Biagini started off well in his first ever starts of his career. He didn’t allow a single run against the Rays and Mariners, but as is usually the case with young pitchers, there are potholes to navigate through the course of a full season. He’s been coming down to earth, as he’s gotten hit good for a 8.56 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last three starts. Undoubtedly, Biagini is going through some growing pains at the moment. The Orioles are 29th in pitching with a 5.15 ERA. It’s easy to see given their rotation. This total opened at 9.5 and was quickly bet up to 10. Even at 10, I think we’re still good for a winning MLB pick on the OVER in Toronto at the Rogers Centre.
PICK: OVER 10 (-110)