Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs MLB Pick – July 12

The MLB is set up with another great slate of games on Tuesday night. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout July 12. One of these games will be between the Baltimore Orioles and the Chicago Cubs. These two teams have struggled a bit this season, but will look for a big win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 8:05 PM Eastern time.

Baltimore has posted a record of 43-44 so far this season, which has them in last place of the AL East. The Orioles have won eight games in a row and will look to remain hot in this one. Baltimore is two games back on a wild card spot after this long winning streak. The Orioles will look to step up again on the road in this one.

The Cubs have earned a record of 34-52 throughout the season, which has them sitting in fourth place of the NL Central. Chicago has lost four games in a row and are 4-6 throughout their last 10 games. The Cubs are 12 games out of a wild card position entering this set. Chicago will look to get going early at home on Tuesday.

These two teams are sitting outside of the playoffs near the halfway point, but will look for a big win on Tuesday night. The Orioles have stepped up recently to get themselves back in the hunt. Chicago has continued to struggle, but will look to break out of this streak. If either team can step up early, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Baltimore Orioles +1 ½ (-195) -105 Over 9 (+105)
Chicago Cubs -1 ½ (+165) -115 Under 9 (-125)
Team Data Baltimore Orioles Chicago Cubs
Overall Record 43-44 34-52
Away/ Home Record 18-27 17-27
Batting Average .231 .246
Batting Average Away/ Home .228 .256
ERA 3.96 4.66
ERA Away/ Home 4.60 4.43

Betting Trends

Baltimore Orioles

  • 8-2 in July
  • 4-9 when playing on Tuesday
  • 3-4 when playing with a day off
  • 5-4 in inter-league play
  • 25-28 in night games
  • 25-30 against right handers
  • 21-22 after a win
  • 6-1 after three or more straight wins
  • 25-19 against team with a losing record

Chicago Cubs

  • 4-6 in July games
  • 5-8 when playing on a Tuesday
  • 3-5 when playing with day off
  • 4-10 in inter-league games
  • 19-34 in night games
  • 25-36 against right handed starters
  • 2-7 after allowing 10 or more runs
  • 7-11 after three or more straight losses
  • 9-21 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up once this season on June 7 in Baltimore. Christopher Morel and Willson Contreras both hit a home run for the Cubs, but it was not enough. Jorge Mateo had a three run homer, while Austin Hays had two RBI’s for the Orioles. Baltimore was able to ride a strong offensive performance to a 9-3 win. 

Offense

The Orioles have struggled a bit hitting the ball throughout this season. Baltimore has a .231 batting average, which is 26th in the MLB. The Orioles have put up an OBP of .299, which is 27th in the league. Baltimore has earned a .681 OPS, which is also 27th in the MLB. The Orioles have a BA of .232 against righties.

Chicago has been solid at the plate so far on the season. The Cubs have a batting average of .246, which is 13th in the league. Chicago has earned a .322 on base percentage, which is 7th in the MLB. The Cubs have posted an OPS of .720, which is 12th in the league. Chicago has hit .247 against right handers this season.

The Cubs have been the better team at the plate on the season and will look to use it to their advantage early. Baltimore has been solid as of late as well though and will look to get their own bats going. Chicago will need to slow down the Orioles if they want the win. If either team can get some big hits early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Jordan Lyles to get the start on the mound for Baltimore in this one. Lyles has started in 17 games this season, going 5-7 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.50 ERA and a WHIP of 1.398 in those outings. Lyles pitched six innings in his last start against the Los Angeles Angels. He gave up five hits and one run en route to the win.

Adrian Sampson will likely get the nod at pitcher for the Cubs on Tuesday night. Sampson has earned a record of 0-0 throughout his 5 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 2.91 and a 1.015 WHIP in his games played. Sampson’s last start was against the Milwaukee Brewers. He allowed four hits and one run through five and two thirds innings in the no decision.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season and will look to start strong in this one. Lyles will look to build on his last win, while Sampson will look for a big win in this one. The Orioles have the edge in the bullpen as well. Baltimore’s relievers have a combined ERA of 3.25, which is 5th in the league. Chicago’s bullpen has a 4.45 ERA, which is 26th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Orioles have been red hot as of late and will look to keep it going early in this one. Chicago has the edge at the plate in this one and will look to get their bats going early against Lyles. The Cubs will need Sampson and the bullpen to step up as well. If Chicago can get the early lead in this one, I think they can hold on for a big win.

Bovada has the Cubs listed as a -115 against the money line in this one. This implies that Chicago will win this game around 53.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with the Cubs at home. Chicago will look to bounce back early on Tuesday night after losing their last couple of games. As slight favorites, it could be enough for the win.

The Bet
Chicago Cubs
-115
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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