Orioles vs. Red Sox MLB Pick – September 27th

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox just have to make it past this weekend and the offseason is theirs to enjoy. The Orioles’ season was over before it started. Their fate was sealed back in April or I probably should say March before the first pitch was thrown in the regular season.

The Orioles traded away the centerpiece of their franchise last season, Manny Machado, who has already played on two teams since then. The Dodgers acquired Machado as a rental piece and ultimately signed a big contract with the Padres. It’s worked out for Machado’s wallet, that’s for certain.

The Orioles have assigned Trey Mancini as the new face of the franchise in Baltimore. That name doesn’t exactly ring a bell with a lot of people, but it’s because he’s playing for the Orioles. Put him on the Yankees or Dodgers and everyone would be familiar with the name.

Mancini has developed into the leader of the clubhouse as well. This doesn’t mean that the Orioles are going to want to reup his contract and keep him in Baltimore, though. The Orioles aren’t known as spenders, so we’ll see what happens in arbitration between Mancini and the franchise.

They could decide to make Mancini a guy to build around and his numbers have suggest it’s a realistic idea. Mancini is hitting .291 with 34 home runs. He has contact and power numbers, which is so uncommon in the majors these days. The Orioles can look back at this season and realize they weren’t expected to compete anyway.

Conversely, the Red Sox can look back at what a waste 2019 was. Following a World Series in 2018, the Red Sox fell the hardest out of any team in baseball this year. The Red Sox go into Friday on the heels of a 7-5 loss in Arlington last night. They did get two out of three wins, though, and the offense was still interested in playing. Head below for our free Orioles vs. Red Sox pick.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Red Sox -215/Orioles +185
  • O/U: 11

Pitching Matchup:

  • Asher Wojciechowski (3-8, 5.31 ERA)
  • Nathan Eovaldi (2-0, 6.03 ERA)

Betting odds provided by bovada.lv

The Red Sox acquired Nathan Eovaldi last season and it paid off for them. Eovaldi was a cheaper option from the Rays and it was a good move for GM Dave Dombrowski. The move wasn’t enough to save his job this season, but Eovaldi pitched well and the Red Sox moved on to win the World Series. With the Rays, Eovaldi posted a 4.26 ERA in ten starts. As a member of the Red Sox, he posted an ERA of 3.33 in 12 appearences. That was a good ROI for the Red Sox, but Eovaldi has slid considerably in his first full season in Boston.

Eovaldi enters with an ERA of 6.03 and a 1.60 WHIP. He’s made only 11 starts this season because of an elbow injury and inconsistent play. Eovaldi has been looking for something to come out of Fenway Park in 2019, but nothing has come easy for him. That goes for the rest of the pitching staff as well. Eovaldi has been struggling, though that’s been consistent for the Red Sox this year. He enters with an ERA of 7.56 and .412 OBA in 25 innings at Fenway.

The O’s have had success against Eovaldi in the past. They are hitting .306 with a .368 OBP in 62 at-bats against him. That also includes 3 long balls and 9 runs scored. In any event, Eovaldi is likely to see a healthy dose of run support tonight. Whether it’s against Asher or the bullpen, the Red Sox should be able to find their runs. Wojciechowski heads into Friday with a 5.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. In his previous three outings, Asher has posted a 6.35 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in 11.1 innings.

That’s not fantastic numbers and coupled with their bullpen, the Orioles have been a magnet for runs. The O’s bullpen is 29th in the majors with an ERA of 5.66. There has been a lot of blame to go around, but their relievers blowing games at the rate they do is a major reason for the failure rate in Baltimore. We should likely see more than 11 runs to get a winner on the OVER.

The Bet
OVER 11
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.