The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox meet for a brand new series this weekend. The Indians just got done pounding the Red Sox last night, sending another message to them that the road to the World Series is not going to be an easy one. The Indians tallied 13 runs to win a convincing 13-6 matchup on Thursday. Over in Detroit, the Yankees and Tigers went toe-to-toe at home plate with a brawl erupting. It wasn’t just a normal brawl of pushing and arguing, Miguel Cabrera took a couple of big swings at Austin Romine. The main thing for the Red Sox is that the Yanks lost 10-6. The Yankees don’t gain any games on the Red Sox, pushing away a chance to play catch up on Thursday.
The Red Sox keep their 4.5 game lead in the American League East, while a Yankees’ loss allows others to reel them in for a wildcard. It’s a tight race, an argument can be made that any of these teams have the ability to make it out of the American League alive. Like I have said before, I’m always going to side with the better bullpens in the postseason. Therefore, the Indians and Red Sox get an extra vote in my book. But then you look at the potent Houston Astros and think that they are going to be a tough out.
It was an exciting affair in Houston last night, as the Nationals and Astros dueled off for what could be a preview of the World Series. A bad beat on our part, as we went in to the bottom of the 9th with a 3-1 game which ultimately turned into a mess thanks to the bullpens. Final score went in favor of the Nationals with a 5-4 final in Houston. Case in point why I will side with the teams with the better built bullpens in the postseason. Off to Fenway we go for the Orioles and Red Sox tonight. Head below for our free MLB betting pick.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Pick
Jeremy Hellickson (1-2, 6.35 ERA) vs. Rick Porcello (8-14, 4.48 ERA)
A night after the Red Sox pitching got hammered, Rick Porcello will try and put the fire out tonight at home. Porcello had his best season in the majors a year ago, earning himself the Cy Young award. His record of 22-4 is what did it for him. He’s regressed in 2017, going from a 3.10 ERA last season to a 4.48 ERA this season. However, Porcello is coming off an impressive performance in a big game against the Yankees, holding them to just 3 hits and 1 run across 6 innings of work. He certainly would prefer to be pitching on the road, though, as his ERA of 4.89 at home suggests. Nevertheless, in his last two starts at home, Porcello has given up 4 runs in 13 innings.
Porcello holds a 2.84 ERA in his last three outings at home. It’d appear that he is putting on his game face knowing the circumstances the rest of the reason. However, Oriole batters are hitting Porcello for a BA of .295. There are seven Orioles in this lineup that are hitting him for more than .300. Likewise, Jeremy Hellickson hasn’t had a fun time against the Red Sox, with an opposing batting average of .290.
Mookie Betts hasn’t missed against him yet, 5-for-5 along with a long ball. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .444 in 9 at-bats against Hellickson. Between the Phillies and Orioles, he owns a 5.00 ERA this season. But with the O’s he has a 6.35 ERA. He’s also been a dumpster fire on the road with a 7.36 ERA. In his last 9.2 innings, he’s allowed 13 runs. There should be an opportunity for plenty of runs tonight. I like a play on the OVER at Fenway on Saturday.
PICK: OVER 10 (-110)