Padres vs. Brewers MLB Pick – September 18th

The Milwaukee Brewers edged out the San Diego Padres in a close fought pitching duel on Tuesday night at Miller Park. Chris Paddack went at it against Brandon Woodruff and the Brewers’ bullpen for an impressive night for the pitching staffs. Paddack went 5 strong innings, allowing just 1 hit and a run which included 9 strikeouts.

In his return from the IL, Woodruff went 2 innings before giving way to Gio Gonzalez. Gonzalez went the longest out of all pitchers on the Brewers, with 3 innings of scoreless baseball. It all added up to a 3-1 win for the home team in Milwaukee.

The Brewers have forgot that they have been playing without an MVP recently. Despite losing Christian Yelich to a broken kneecap, the Brewers are using it for more motivation to win without him. I think a lot of guys want to show that the Brewers are more than just Yelich. While his bat is one of the best in the major leagues, some other guys want to show that the Brewers can get to the postseason with the MVP.

Following a hot run of 11-1, the Brewers are tied with the Cubs for the final wildcard. The Cubs are sitting there wondering what’s going on here. They had to think their chances were even better after Yelich got injured. However, the Brewers are putting the Cubs in a tough spot over the next two weeks. Certainly, the more determined team is playing in Milwaukee.

For the Padres, they suffered their six straight loss a night ago. They know the season is done and have made the decision to call it a season for Paddack. Instead of risking an injury in a meaningless baseball game, the rookie pitched his last game of 2019 on Tuesday.

It was an impressive season for Paddack and he will go into 2020 as the clear ace of the club. Dinelson Lamet is expected on the hill for the Padres to try and make the bleeding stop at six games tonight. Adrian Houser is scheduled to pitch for the Brewers. Head below for our free Padres vs. Brewers pick.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Brewers -145/Padres +125
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Dinelson Lamet (2-5, 4.06 ERA)
  • Adrian Houser (6-6, 3.84 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

Chris Paddack will leave the 2019 season on a high note after a dominant performance last night. Just like in the greater portion of this season, Paddack was unable to record a win, though. The offense is going to have to help him more if they’re going to want success in 2019. Lamet is on pace to play a big role for the Padres next year. He’s had an average season with an ERA of 4.06 in his sophomore campaign. With some hard work in the offseason, Lamet could play a crucial role.

Lamet goes into Miller Park with a nice 3.38 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. He feels Paddack’s pain of pitching well and getting no wins out of the deal. Despite that nice stat line, Lamet went 0-3 in those three showings. The offense managed to score just 6 runs to give Lamet little to work with. They are a banged up team who will need to get healthier as well.

He will look to improve his stats against the Brewers tonight. Lamet has struggled with a .286 batting average and .375 OBP. The most impressive feat by the Brewers against him has been their power numbers. In only 21 at-bats, they’ve hit 4 home runs and scored 9 runs. Note that Yelich was not responsible for any of the long balls or RBI’s.

Adrian Houser was on a monster run from August 10th to September 2nd. In five straight starts, Houser allowed 1 earned run in each game. In six of seven outings, Houser hit that magic number. The Cardinals recently got to him on the road, though, with 4 runs scored in 3 innings of play.

That said, Houser hasn’t been the best on the road, where he’s boasted an ERA of 4.42 and 1.42 WHIP. Compare that to his work at Miller Park. Houser has been sharp with a 3.12 ERA and 1.20 WHIP at home in Milwaukee. He’s faced the Padres in only 11 at-bats, but it was a struggle for the Padres with just 1 hit for a .111 average. Ride the Brewers until the wheels fall off, especially when you’re getting a respectable price.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.