Padres vs. Diamondbacks MLB Pick – September 4th

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been sizzling hot and will look for more against the San Diego Padres on Wednesday. They have a sweep on their minds, as they eye their third straight win over the Padres. After a 14-7 win Monday, the Padres came back with another win Tuesday.

They did it differently, as the bats were quiet while the pitching staff handled business. Merrill Kelly pitched a gem of a game, handing the ball over to the bullpen with a 2-0 lead. He went seven innings, having allowed no runs and just 3 hits.

All of the Diamondbacks’ runs were scored in the 1st inning. That’s all they needed for a win, though. They were held scoreless for the next 8 innings and still came out of it with a victory. That is what you call a dominant pitching performance.

The Diamondbacks have really looked determined to get into the postseason of late. With their backs up against the wall, they’ve welcomed the adversity and used it to propel into the wildcard race. We’ve always warned how fast things can change in Major League Baseball.

The Diamondbacks have gone 8-1 in their last nine games and to get into the wildcard picture. Despite the nice run for them, they’re still 3.5 games back. In other words, there isn’t much time to relax right now, even though they’ve been doing their part recently.

The Mets got hot and have now fell back considerably. We’ll see if the Diamondbacks do the same thing and regress, or keep fighting their way to a wildcard in the National League. The acquisition of Zac Gallen has really done wonders for the D-backs.

A great move for a guy with great potential. He’s already showing flashes of his ability to soon be an ace in Arizona. Chris Paddack will counter for the Padres to make this a good-looking pitching matchup on paper. Head below for our free Padres vs. Diamondbacks pick.

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick:

Betting Odds:

  • Diamondbacks -130/Padres +110
  • O/U: 8.5

Pitching Matchup:

  • Chris Paddack (8-7, 3.69 ERA)
  • Zac Gallen (2-4, 2.79 ERA)

Betting odds provided by

The Diamondbacks swung a deal for Zac Gallen and he’s made an immediate impact with his new club. Arizona sent Jazz Chisholm to Miami, so it was a prospect for prospect deal. We won’t know who won this trade for at least a few years, but Gallen has made the Diamondbacks pretty excited already. With Zack Greinke traded to the Houston Astros, there’s an opening for an ace in the desert next season. Gallen is hitting all of the right notes to get the No. 1 spot in the rotation.

Gallen goes into Wednesday with a superb ERA of 2.79 in 61.1 innings pitched between the Marlins and Diamondbacks. He posted a 2.72 ERA in seven appearances with the Marlins, and then he didn’t allow the trade to distract him when he came to the Diamondbacks. It’s been more of the same from him, as he has been sharp with a 2.88 ERA for the D-backs in five starts.

It’s worth nothing that Gallen has pitched against some good offenses. With the Diamondbacks, he’s had to dance with the Dodgers, Brewers, Rockies, and Phillies. Miami wasn’t easy either, as he neutralized the Nationals, Mets, Dodgers, and Twins. These are all teams with bats who can do a lot of damage, but Gallen handled them easily. That’s probably the most impressive part of his numbers; he’s doing it against good hitters.

Chris Paddack has been good for the Padres in his rookie season. He’s certainly slowed down, though. Paddack had an ERA of 1.93 on May 20th. Two months later he still had strong numbers, with a 2.70 ERA on July 17th. Going into September, Paddack owns a 3.69 ERA in 124.1 innings of work.

In his last three performances, he’s gotten hit for a 7.07 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. He’s trying to keep this together, so his ERA stays below 4.00 by the end of the season. I think he’ll be adequate against the Diamondbacks, but it’s a tough matchup against this hot lineup and Gallen. The Diamondbacks likely keep things rolling with another win Wednesday in the desert.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.