Kudos to those of you who were a little bolder last night and decided to let it ride on the Dodgers slide. Yu Darvish got touched up for four runs in the fifth, and it was enough for the Rockies to overtake Los Angeles and earn a 5-4 victory. The line closed at nearly two to one, so a nice payday for those who got ahold of the line. Alas, I chickened out on the big, bold play, but was successful with the OVER 7.5 en route to a fourth straight winner. It feels good to be emerging from the rough patch of August. I take this stuff seriously, and take pride in delivering you guys some winners as often as possible. Hopefully we can take this run through the finish line, Cleveland Indians style…
Speaking of storms – I’m a South Florida kid who moved to the Midwest. Tons of my friends and family (and many readers) are down in Florida. PLEASE be safe. Save the heroics for the athletic fields – be smart, be safe, and hunker down. We will all be thinking of you.
Today’s MLB Pick:
San Diego Padres +180 vs. Arizona Diamondbacks -190 (Total: 9.5)
Jhoulys Chacin (12-10, 3.96 ERA) vs. Zack Godley (7-7, 3.21 ERA)
The Padres snapped the Diamondbacks franchise record-setting winning streak last night with an 10-6 victory, but will have their work cut out for them tonight with Zack Godley on the mound. Godley enters on a slight slide; he has just one quality start in his last five outings, allowing 13 earned runs over 28 innings. Not ‘bad’ but not quite up to the standard he was setting earlier in the season. That said, his 1.13 WHIP and .213 opponent batting average are both elite numbers, and his home batting average against of .184 is simply awesome.
Meanwhile, Chacin is no stranger to the Diamondbacks. He has made 16 starts against his former mates, posting a 3.27 ERA in the process. The total is awfully high for two quality starters on the mound, even with the Diamondback prodigious offensive prowess. These two have had a lot of OVER games in a head-to-head context, including last night’s, but overall neither team has been surging the total OVER to regularly lately. Prior to last night, the Padres has mustered just eight runs in their last four games. Arizona has been more steadily productive, but I think Chacin will be able to keep it under control tonight. I don’t think we are looking at a 2-1 pitcher’s duel, but even a 5-3 or 6-3 game keeps us under the lofty total.