San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Pick – July 2

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action throughout Saturday. Seventeen games are up on the board throughout July 2. One of these games will be between the San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers. These two teams have been strong on the season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:15 PM Eastern time on Fox.

San Diego has earned a record of 46-33 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL West. The Padres have lost their last two games and are 4-6 throughout their last 10. San Diego is three and a half games back on the top seeded Los Angeles Dodgers. The Padres will look to step up early to get back on track

The Dodgers have put up a record of 48-28 so far this season, which has them in first place of the NL West. Los Angeles has won three games in a row and are 7-3 throughout their last 10 games. The Dodgers have a three and a half game lead on the division entering this one. Los Angeles will look to extend that lead with a win on Saturday night.

These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Los Angeles has been great throughout this season and will look to remain hot in this one. The Padres will look to get back on track after dropping their last two. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
San Diego Padres +1 ½ (-165) +126 Over 7 ½ (-110)
Los Angeles Dodgers -1 ½ (+140) -150 Under 7 ½ (-110)
Team Data San Diego Padres Los Angeles Dodgers
Overall Record 46-33 48-28
Away/ Home Record 25-17 26-16
Batting Average .241 .252
Batting Average Away/ Home .253 .245
ERA 3.51 2.95
ERA Away/ Home 3.78 3.09

Betting Trends

San Diego Padres

  • 0-1 in July games
  • 5-8 when playing on Saturday
  • 14-13 against divisional opponents
  • 18-11 in day games
  • 18-8 against left handers
  • 19-11 after a loss
  • 12-15 against team with a winning record

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • 1-0 in July
  • 6-7 when playing on a Saturday
  • 17-10 against division rivals
  • 14-9 in day games
  • 33-1 against right handed starters
  • 31-16 after a win
  • 12-5 after three or more straight wins
  • 13-9 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up five times throughout this season. The first three games were in San Diego, where the Dodgers won two of the three games on the road. Justin Turner had two home runs in the first game of this set as Los Angeles won 3-1. Cody Bellinger had a two run homer in Friday night’s tilt as the Dodgers won 5-1 at home.

Offense

The Padres have been solid hitting the ball so far this season. San Diego has a batting average of .241, which is 16th in the MLB. The Padres have earned a .317 OBP, which is 12th in the league. San Diego has posted an OPS of .694, which is 19th in the MLB. The Padres have hit .248 against righties this season.

Los Angeles has been better at the plate throughout the season. The Dodgers have a .252 batting average, which is 7th in the league. Los Angeles has put up an on base percentage of .329, which is 1st in the MLB. The Dodgers have earned a .759 OPS, which is 2nd in the league. Los Angeles has a BA of .255 against right handers.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Dodgers have been better at the plate and will look to step up again in this one. Los Angeles has eight runs over the last two games against the Padres. San Diego has only scored twice over the two games. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Yu Darvish to get the start on the mound for San Diego in this one. Darvish has earned a record of 7-3 throughout his 14 starts on the season. He has posted a 3.26 ERA and a WHIP of 0.985 in those starts. Darvish pitched six innings in his last start against the Philadelphia Phillies. He gave up seven hits and three runs in the no decision. 

Tyler Anderson will likely get the nod at pitcher for the Dodgers on Saturday. Anderson has appeared in 14 games this season, going 8-1 in those outings. He has put up an ERA of 3.23 and a 1.038 WHIP in his games played. Anderson’s last start was against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up 10 hits and four runs through six innings in the loss.

These two pitchers have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Darvish has won three of his last four starts, while Anderson is coming off his first loss of the season. Los Angeles has the edge in the bullpen. The Dodgers relievers have an ERA of 3.22, which is 6th in the league. San Diego’s bullpen has a combined 3.56 ERA, which is 11th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Padres have lost their last two games against Los Angeles entering this one, but will look to bounce back on Saturday. San Diego can match well with the Dodgers hitting and have similar pitching on the mound. The Padres will look to step up early in this matchup after struggling in the last two games. If San Diego can get some runs in early, they could pull off the upset on the road.

Bovada has Los Angeles listed as a -150 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Dodgers will win this game around 60 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams competing for the top spot in the division. I expect the Padres to step up early. As big underdogs, I like the value on San Diego in this one.

The Bet
San Diego Padres
+126
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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