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Padres vs Dodgers Pick MLB – April 15th

We rebounded from a tough baseball Saturday with a pair of wins against just one loss yesterday.  The Yankees won as a small favorite (-116) while the Braves cashed in as +125 underdogs to make for a nice profitable day.  It runs our season record to a nice 17-10, but more importantly, a profitability of $534.50 for $100 bettors.

Monday marks the beginning of a new set of matchups as new series kickoff this evening.  There are a few interesting matchups tonight; Cincinnati tries to snap a five-game losing streak against long-time nemesis Cliff Lee and the Phillies, while Washington should be afforded a chance to lick their wounds after the Braves sweep when they head down to hapless Miami.

But let’s be honest.  There is ONE game every baseball fan wants to see tonight, albeit for mostly non-baseball reasons – and that’s the grudge-filled matchup between the Dodgers and Padres tonight.  It will be their first meeting since Carlos Quentin broke Zach Greinke’s collar bone charging the mound after being hit on a 3-2 pitch in a one-run game.  Conveniently, Quentin dropped his appeal and began his eight-game suspension YESTERDAY.  So… one of his poor teammates will most certainly get dotted in his absence.  It will be a tense and contentious affair tonight in San Diego, and I personally am looking forward to it.  Not just for the brawl potential, but more for the great wagering opportunity.

San Diego Padres +160 at Los Angeles Dodgers -170 (Total: 7)

Eric Stultz (1-1, 3.60 ERA) vs. Chad Billingsly (1-0, 1.50 ERA)

The Dodgers may be missing Greinke, but it isn’t as if they are bereft of pitching depth.  Billingsly was fantastic last season and is off to another good start this year.  The Dodgers are a ridiculous 8-0 in his last eight starts.  I don’t see San Diego as the offense to snap that streak, especially in Los Angeles in his home park (a spacious one at that…).

The Dodgers are a GREAT value tonight at -170, as I’d be very surprised if they lose tonight, and an even better play on the -1.5 runline at better than even money.  The Dodgers have the left-handed Stultz, and to this point in the season are actually hitting left handed pitching far better than they are righties, with a .275 batting average.  Runs have been a little more scarce than expected in LA, with the Didgers averaging just under three runs per contest, but numbers like that are more an early-season aberration than what can be expected.

There’s no better night to break out of the slump that on Jackie Robinson night against a team you KNOW they’d REALLY like to teach a lesson to.  There’s no better revenge than lighting up the scoreboard – that’s an old-school baseball maxim that Jackie would certainly have enjoyed.

Give me the Dodgers in a big way tonight over the Padres.

Free Picks:  Los Angeles Dodgers to WIN -170 & Dodgers -1.5 (+120)