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Padres vs. Dodgers Pick – MLB April 7th

Day 3 of a new MLB season begins today, as we pretty well have baseball everyday now until October. Other than the All-Star break, which is one of the quietest days in sports with nothing going on other than the WNBA if I recall correctly. Yesterday provided plenty of reasons to be happy, it was the first full day of MLB action with betting opportunities available throughout the day, and then we hit out very first pick of the MLB season with a winner on the Cincinnati Reds. I still don’t understand really why the books were giving Cueto at such a short price at home. Those are the things that can be taken advantage of at this point in the season, though. Lines you find now on some pitchers will not be there two or three months. I guarantee you aren’t going to find Cueto below -125 may more times this season, if even do at all. The Reds are armed with a health Joey Votto, so we’ll see if he can stay healthy and the Reds make progress this season. They always seem to have a chance on paper, but regularly are the poster children for mediocre play.

Today we travel to LA where the San Diego Padres make the short trip to meet the Dodgers. The trip isn’t far for the Padres, but it hasn’t worked out well for them in recent memory. The Dodgers have thoroughly dominated this series, with the Padres not proving to be any kind of threat on most occasions to the Dodgers. The Dodgers had a disappointing end to the 2014 season, as anything less than a World Series, was going to be a disappointment for them. An added kick to the midsection was the fact that their rivals, the San Francisco Giants, were able to win the World Series again. We’re still waiting on this current Dodger team to do that.

Given the payroll and the talent from top-to-bottom on the roster, there is no reason that they shouldn’t be getting to championships. One of those reasons is their pitching staff, featuring Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke. Greinke gets the ball tonight as he looks to deliver the Dodgers another win today after Kershaw took care of business with a 6-3 victory yesterday. We look for another victory as well. For the pick and additional write-up continue reading below.
San Diego Padres at LA Dodgers

San Diego Padres vs. LA Dodgers

Tyson Ross (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Zack Greinke (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

There is plenty of hype around the Padres this season. A lot of people have them as the surprise team of 2015. They added some talent in the offseason which should help them with some more wins and success this season. But how many times is a team projected to do that at the start of the season and they fail to meet expectations. Then conversely, another team that nobody was talking about is able to covet that role as the surprise team. If history can tell the future, they sure aren’t going to make it work against the Dodgers. The Padres are only 8-20 in their last 28 meetings. Including 1-4 in their last five, and are 4-14 in the teams last eighteen games playing at Dodger Stadium. Could Tyson Ross turn the ride in the opposite direction? Defeating Greinke isn’t going to be so easy. Especially considering the kind of success that Greinke has had over the Padres. Greinke owns a 1.84 over them in seven starts with a 0.75 WHIP and opponent BAA of just .161. He churned in another excellent season in Dodger blue a season ago, earning himself an ERA of 2.71 and 1.15 in his 10th season as a pro. He particularly shined at home where he went 10-2 with a small WHIP of 1.04.

Tyson Ross looked great in 2014, but most pitchers do playing in that comfy ballpark. Ross owned a 2.81 ERA, where he solidified himself as a good pitcher in this league. Most of the good fortunes came at home. He had a 1.88 ERA at home with a 1.01 WHIP and BAA of .199 against. Those numbers went up when he travelled away from San Diego, though. Note that Ross had a 3.79 ERA with his WHIP decreasing to 1.42 and BAA to .262. I am going to take a chance with the Dodgers getting a big number on the RL. I’ll be locked in for +146 on this bet of the Dodgers -1.5.

PICK: DODGERS -1.5 (+146)