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Padres vs. Dodgers Pick MLB – September 1st

I got off on the wrong foot at the beginning of the week, but like I have done all season after a couple losses, came back with a big winning streak. An easy winner yesterday on the under in the Rays/Athletics game gives us another winner to add to an already impressive MLB season. I watched my fair share of college football yesterday as well, cashing in on the gridiron, too.

As some of you know I also handicap NFL games, with the season only one week away, I am looking forward to helping you guys out in that capacity. I’ll continue to post MLB plays into October, but my main focus will be on football. We ended August quite well, so let’s start September off the same way.

Free Pick

San Diego Padres +195 at Los Angeles Dodgers -235 (Total: 7)

Tyson Ross (3-7, 3.05 ERA) vs. Zack Greinke (13-3, 2.86)

To reinforce an already potent Dodgers lineup, the team went out and acquired Michael Young from the Philadelphia Phillies yesterday. The Dodgers already had one of the most vaunted offenses in baseball, but the addition of Young provides another player that can still pose problems for opposing pitchers. Young isn’t the same player he was a few years ago, but nevertheless is still a nice option for the Dodgers on their roster.

The Dodgers are currently on a three-game winning streak, a saying that I have gotten used to saying over the past month. They’ll have arguably their best pitcher to try and sweep the Padres, pushing their streak to four games. Greinke has been some kind of miracle child lately the way he has been pitching. He has been solid all season long, but he’s kicked it up to another gear recently. Greinke holds an ERA of just 1.12 in his last three tilts, adding a superb 0.83 WHIP, too. He’s only allowed more than 3 runs once in his last ten starts, where he gave up 4 to the Reds on July 25th.

Padres’ starter, Tyson Ross, has had himself a fine season. If you’re going into September with a 3.05 ERA, then there is nothing to be upset about. However, Ross has unfortunately been a victim of playing on the Padres, a team that has been plagued by a lack of offensive output for years now. Unlike Greinke though, Ross enjoyed his success earlier in the season, lately he hasn’t been as great. In his last three starts he possessed a 4.19 ERA, getting taken for 5 and 6 runs against the Pirates and Diamondbacks.

It’s extremely important this time of year to notice which pitchers are beginning to sputter down the stretch. Ross could be one of those pitchers. Conversely, Greinke has gotten better as the season has progressed, he’s almost a lock at this point to hold teams down that are not good at the plate. I originally liked the under in this game, but after second thought, I think the Dodgers will take this game convincingly. It may not be an epic beat down, but I think they’ll be able to beat the Padres by more than a run to complete the sweep at home.

Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5