Padres vs. Giants MLB Pick – September 24th

The final week of the regular season is upon us, which means it’s the most time of the year for some teams, and for others it’s an extension of preseason games. For a lot of players, this gives management a look at minor leaguers and fringe players before being on their own until training camp rolls around. There are some who embrace the opportunity and let it rip, enter Rowdy Tellez of the Toronto Blue Jays. He has cemented his status as an Opening Day starter in 2019.

For the Padres and Giants, there isn’t much else to look forward to this year. It’s a huge disappointment for the Giants, who spent a lot of money to put them back in the postseason this season. On paper, everything looked good, especially after pulling in Andrew McCutchen. It hasn’t translated on the field and to save some money, they sent McCutchen to the Yankees.

The status of bench boss, Bruce Bochy, is up in the air in San Francisco. What out there that is really better than Bochy, though? John Gibbons, current manager of the Blue Jays, is likely going to be available. But is he really an upgrade over Bochy? The safe wager is selecting Bochy to return as manager, so it might all be a moot point.

While the Giants played well below expectations this season, the Padres pretty much hit their expectations. There will be a day that the Padres return as a postseason team, but it’s not going to be this season, and likely not next either. The Padres took an absolute whacking on Sunday afternoon against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers are looking to lock up the NL West this week and that win will help.

San Diego laying down certainly helped their cause. Former Yankee, Bryan Mitchell, will take on veteran Derek Holland this evening in the Bay. Holland has done himself a favor by staying healthy and pitching well in 2018. In what was a make or break year for him, Holland has stepped up and impressed. Mitchell will look to rebound after the Giants made it look easy against him last week. Get our free Padres vs. Giants pick below.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

Bryan Mitchell (1-4, 6.16 ERA) vs. Derek Holland (7-8, 3.57 ERA)

This will be the fourth start in a row for Bryan Mitchell. He’s seen the minors, the bullpen, and starting rotation in 2018. Mitchell was a major flop with the Yankees, as he posted an ERA of 5.79 in 20 appearances last season. The Yanks gave him four years to figure it out, but he was wildly inconsistent in the Bronx. A change of scenery to beautiful San Diego hasn’t seemed to help either. Mitchell enters with an ERA of 6.16 and 1.83 WHIP between the bullpen and as a starter this season.

In his last appearance in the bullpen, he gave up 5 hits and 5 runs in 2.2 innings, so I guess the Padres thought let’s see what he has a starter. He’s been better, but is coming off a rough outing against the Giants in San Diego, allowing 9 hits and 4 runs in 5 innings. That’s all the Giants needed for a 4-2 win last week. In 35 at-bats the Giants are hitting .371 with a .421 OBP against Mitchell. For a team that has come up short offensively this season, they’ve been able to hit him.

If there is any silver lining to this season, Derek Holland was able to stay healthy. Unfortunately, the Giants weren’t able to use it towards much. If they were a postseason team, we would have looked back at his effort and gave credit. He didn’t have his best showing against the Padres either in his last outing, though. Holland allowed 5 hits and 4 runs in 5 innings. However, it was the first time he gave up more than 2 runs in a start since August 10th. The Padres are hitting .279 against Holland in 86 at-bats.

He went six starts in a row with 2 or less runs allowed, and in five of six, 1 or no runs surrendered. Holland enters with a 3.51 ERA and 1.16 WHIP at home in San Francisco. I like his chances of bouncing back better than I do Mitchell here. Both teams are coming off bad outings yesterday, but the Padres got humiliated. I don’t expect them to find much motivation to go to the Bay Area to play tonight. I wouldn’t go heavy on any baseball bets this week, but the Giants look good for a selection at home.

The Bet: GIANTS (-130)

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.