San Diego Padres vs New York Mets MLB Pick – July 23

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball throughout Saturday. Sixteen games are up on the board throughout July 23. One of these games will be between the San Diego Padres and the New York Mets. These two teams have been strong this season and will look for a big win. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:10 PM Eastern time.

San Diego has earned a record of 53-42 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL West. The Padres are coming off a win in their last game, but have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games. San Diego is in a wild card spot and 10 games back on the division lead. The Padres will look to close that gap with a win in this one.

The Mets have put up a record of 58-36 so far on the season, which has them in first place of the NL East. New York has lost their last two games, but are 6-4 in their last 10 matchups. The Mets have a one and a half game lead on the second place Atlanta Braves. New York will look for a big win at home on Saturday.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Padres have struggled a bit in their last stretch of games and will look to build up a winning streak. New York will look to end this small losing streak of their own. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
San Diego Padres +1 ½ (-170) +126 Over 7 ½ (-110)
New York Mets -1 ½ (+145) -150 Under 7 ½ (-110)
Team Data San Diego Padres New York Mets
Overall Record 53-42 58-36
Away/ Home Record 28-21 28-16
Batting Average .241 .251
Batting Average Away/ Home .256 .248
ERA 3.74 3.61
ERA Away/ Home 4.03 3.30

Betting Trends

San Diego Padres

  • 7-10 in July
  • 6-10 when playing on a Saturday
  • 34-24 in night games
  • 31-29 against right handers
  • 29-25 after a win
  • 16-17 against team with a winning record

New York Mets

  • 11-7 in July games
  • 10-6 when playing on Saturday
  • 36-21 in night games
  • 20-14 against left handed starters
  • 26-9 after a loss
  • 18-17 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up four times throughout the season. San Diego hosted the first three games of the season series. The Mets took the first game in that set, but the Padres won the next two. San Diego also won the first game in New York on Friday night. The Padres have outscored the Mets 29-14 in those four games.

Offense

The Padres have been solid at the plate on the season. San Diego has a .241 batting average, which is 16th in the MLB. The Padres have posted an OBP of .316, which is 13th in the league. San Diego has earned a .691 OPS, which is 19th in the MLB. The Padres have a BA of .238 against right handers.

New York has been strong hitting the ball this season. The Mets have a batting average of .251, which is 7th in the league. New York has earned a .323 on base percentage, which is 5th in the MLB. The Mets have put up an OPS of .717, which is 13th in the league. New York has hit .237 against lefties this season.

The Mets have a slight edge with the bats in their hands in this one. New York has been solid on the season and will look to keep it going in this one. San Diego had 8 hits and 4 runs in Friday’s win, while the Mets had 4 hits and 1 run. If either team can step up at the plate, it could be enough for the win in this one.

Pitching Preview

I expect Blake Snell to get the start at pitcher for San Diego in this one. Snell has started in 10 games this season, going 1-5 in those matchups. He has posted a 5.22 ERA and a WHIP of 1.48 in those outings. Snell’s last start was against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up four hits and five runs through three and two thirds innings in the no decision.

Chris Bassitt to get the nod on the mound for the Mets on Saturday night. Bassitt has earned a record of 7-6 throughout his 17 starts this season. He has put up an ERA of 3.79 and a 1.14 WHIP in those starts. Bassitt pitched six innings in his last start against the Atlanta Braves. He gave up five hits and one run in the win.

Bassitt has won three of his last five starts and will look to keep it going in this one. Snell has lost two of his last three decisions entering this matchup. New York has the edge in the bullpen as well. The Mets relievers have a 3.46 ERA, which is 9th in the league. The Padres bullpen has combined for an ERA of 3.82, which is 14th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look for a big win in this one. The Padres were able to win the first game of this set and have gone 3-1 against New York this season. I expect the Mets to bounce back with the edge on the mound. If New York can get the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has the Mets listed as a -150 against the money line in this one. This implies that New York will win this game around 60 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but has little value. The Mets are also listed at -1 ½ for +145 in this one. I think New York will come out fast as they try to get back on track.

The Bet
New York Mets -1.5
+145
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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