San Diego Padres vs New York Mets MLB Pick – July 24

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action on July 24. Fifteen games are up on the board throughout Sunday. One of these games will be between the San Diego Padres and New York Mets. These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look to step up in this one. This game will throw the first pitch at around 7:10 PM Eastern on ESPN.

San Diego has earned a record of 54-42 throughout this season, which has them sitting in second place of the NL West. The Padres have won two games in a row, but are 5-5 in their last 10 games. San Diego is ten and a half games back on the division lead. The Padres will look to step up early on the road again in this one.

The Mets have put up a record of 58-37 so far on the season, which has them in first place of the NL East. New York has lost their last three games and are 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Mets have a half game lead on the second place Atlanta Braves. New York will look to extend that lead with a much needed win in this one.

These two teams have been solid throughout the season and will look for a big win on Sunday night. The Padres have been solid as of late and will look to step up again in this one. New York will look to step up early after dropping their last few games. If either team can get the win early in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
San Diego Padres +1 ½ (-200) -105 Over 8 (-105)
New York Mets -1 ½ (+170) -115 Under 8 (-115)
Team Data San Diego Padres New York Mets
Overall Record 54-42 58-37
Away/ Home Record 29-21 28-17
Batting Average .240 .251
Batting Average Away/ Home .254 .248
ERA 3.71 3.59
ERA Away/ Home 3.97 3.27

Betting Trends

San Diego Padres

  • 8-10 in July
  • 9-6 when playing on Sunday
  • 35-24 in night games
  • 32-29 against right handers
  • 30-25 after a win
  • 17-17 against team with a winning record

New York Mets

  • 11-8 in July games
  • 9-7 when playing on a Sunday
  • 36-22 in night games
  • 38-22 against right handed starters
  • 26-10 after a loss
  • 18-18 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up five times throughout this season. The first three games were in San Diego between June 6-8. The Mets won the first game, but the Padres won the next two at home. San Diego has taken the first two games of this three game set. The Padres have outscored New York 31-16 in those games.

Offense

The Padres have been solid hitting the ball this season. San Diego has a .240 batting average, which is 18th in the league. The Padres have earned an OBP of .315, which is 13th in the MLB. San Diego has put up a .689 OPS, which is 23rd in the league this season. The Padres have a BA of .236 against righties this season.

New York has been strong at the plate on the season. The Mets have a batting average of .251, which is 9th in the MLB. New York has posted a .323 on base percentage, which is 5th in the league. The Mets have earned an OPS of .716, which is 14th in the MLB. New York has hit .257 against right handers.

The Mets have the edge at the plate entering this one, but will look to bounce back after two rough games. New York has earned 12 hits and 2 runs over the first two games of this set. San Diego has 12 hits and 6 runs in those games. The Mets will look to hit better with runners on in this one. If either team can score early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

I expect Joe Musgrove to get the start on the mound for San Diego in this one. Musgrove has earned a record of 8-2 throughout his 16 starts this season. He has posted a 2.42 ERA and a WHIP of 0.97 in those games. Musgrove’s last start was against the Colorado Rockies. He gave up nine hits and five runs through five innings in the no decision.

Carlos Carrasco will likely get the nod at pitcher for the Mets on Sunday night. Carrasco has started in 18 games this season, going 10-4 in those matchups. He has put up an ERA of 4.27 and a 1.33 WHIP in those outings. Carrasco pitched six innings in his last start against the Chicago Cubs. He gave up five hits in the winning effort.

These two pitchers have been solid this season and will look to get going early in this one. Carrasco has won two of his last three starts, while Musgrove has lost his last two decisions. New York has the edge in the bullpen. The Mets relievers have a combined ERA of 3.44, which is 8th in the league. The Padres bullpen has a 3.80 ERA, which is 13th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Padres have won the first two games of this set, but New York will look to bounce back at home in this one. The Mets have been the better team with the bats in their hands, but have lost four in a row to San Diego now. New York will look to get on the board much earlier in this one. If the Mets can get off to a hot start, I think they will get the home win.

Bovada has New York listed as a -115 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Mets will win this game around 53.5 percent of the time. I think that this line could be bigger with New York at home and looking to avoid the sweep. The Mets have the edge at the plate and will look for Carrasco to step up early. As slight favorites, I like the value of New York in this one.

The Bet
New York Mets
-115
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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