San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies MLB Pick – July 11

The MLB is set up with another great slate of baseball action throughout Monday. Ten games are up on the board throughout July 11. One of these games will be between the San Diego Padres and the Colorado Rockies. These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings, but will look for the win in this one. This game will start at around 8:40 PM Eastern time.

San Diego has earned a record of 49-38 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the NL West. The Padres have lost two games in a row and are 3-7 throughout their last 10 games. San Diego is currently in a wild card spot and eight games back on the division. The Padres will look for a big win on the road in this matchup.

The Rockies have put up a record of 38-48 so far on the season, which has them in last place of the NL West. Colorado is coming off a win in their last game and are 5-5 in their last 10 matchups. The Rockies are eight games back on a wild card spot entering this one. Colorado will look to step up at home on Monday night.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Padres have struggled a lot as of late and will look to get back on track in this set. Colorado will look to build on their last win early in this one. If either team can step up quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win on Monday.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
San Diego Padres -1 ½ (+105) -147 Over 11 ½ (-115)
Colorado Rockies +1 ½ (-125) +123 Under 11 ½ (-105)
Team Data San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies
Overall Record 49-38 38-48
Away/ Home Record 26-18 23-21
Batting Average .239 .257
Batting Average Away/ Home .254 .280
ERA 3.64 4.96
ERA Away/ Home 3.82 5.00

Betting Trends

San Diego Padres

  • 3-6 in July
  • 5-4 when playing on a Monday
  • 17-16 against divisional opponents
  • 30-22 in night games
  • 29-27 against right handers
  • 2-2 after allowing 10 or more runs
  • 3-0 after getting shut out
  • 21-14 after a loss
  • 30-18 against team with a losing record

Colorado Rockies

  • 5-5 in July games
  • 4-5 when playing on Monday
  • 18-17 against division rivals
  • 25-28 in night games
  • 18-17 against left handed starters
  • 16-21 after a win
  • 15-20 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up seven times throughout this season. The first four games were in San Diego. The Padres won the first two games, but Colorado bounced back in the next two to tie up the series. The next three games were hosted by the Rockies. Colorado swept that three game set as well. The Rockies have outscored San Diego 34-26 in their seven meetings.

Offense

The Padres have been struggling hitting the ball this season. San Diego has a .239 batting average, which is 20th in the league. The Padres have earned an on base percentage of .314, which is 17th in the MLB. San Diego has posted a .685 OPS, which is 23rd in the league. The Padres have a BA of .237 against righties on the season.

Colorado has been strong at the plate throughout this season. The Rockies have a batting average of .257, which is 2nd in the MLB. Colorado has put up a .320 OBP, which is 9th in the league. The Rockies have earned an OPS of .720, which is 11th in the MLB this season. Colorado has hit .286 against left handers.

The Rockies have been the better team hitting the ball this season and will look to step up early in this one. Colorado swept the last three game set against San Diego at home and will look to keep their bats going. The Padres will look to use the elevation to get their own offense going though. If either team can hit well early, it could be enough for the win.

Pitching Preview

Sean Manaea will likely get the start at pitcher for San Diego in this one. Manaea has started in 15 games this season, going 3-4 in those matchups. He has posted a 4.18 ERA and a WHIP of 1.234 in those games. Manaea’s last start was against the Seattle Mariners. He gave up eight hits and four runs through three and a third innings in the loss.

I expect Jose Urena to get the nod on the mound for the Rockies on Monday night. Urena has earned a record of 0-0 throughout his 5 appearances this season. He has put up an ERA of 2.51 and a 1.395 WHIP in those matchups. Urena pitched six and two thirds innings in his last start against the Los Angeles Dodgers. He gave up five hits and one run in the no decision.

Manaea has been solid with the Padres after coming over from Oakland in the offseason. Urena will start his second game after joining Colorado from Milwaukee. San Diego has the edge in the bullpen in this one. The Padres relievers have a 3.72 ERA, which is 14th in the league. Colorado’s bullpen has a combined ERA of 4.68, which is 27th in the MLB.

Pick Overview

The Padres have struggled against Colorado throughout this season, but will look to bounce back in this one. San Diego has been falling a bit as of late, but have a great chance to get their bats going in Coors Field. The Padres will look for their pitching to give them a major edge in this one as well. If San Diego can get the early lead, I think they can grab the pivotal win.

Bovada has the Padres listed as a -147 against the money line in this one. This implies that San Diego will win this game around 59.5 percent of the time. I agree with this line as the Padres have been much better overall this season. If Manaea can get going early, I think San Diego can capitalize. As slight favorites, I like the value on the Padres to get the win.

The Bet
San Diego Padres
-147
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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